Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - PLAY OUT - FINAL

Date: 14 May 2023, Sunday


	Folgore Caratese		Varese

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.8
	2.3	3	2.85
	2.16	3.01	3.22
	2.37	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.07)	3 ↓ (3.05)	2.96 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folgore Caratese
39.5%

Draw
30%

Varese
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.8%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

30.5%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folgore Caratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Folgore Caratese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Folgore Caratese - Varese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Folgore Caratese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Città di Varese is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Folgore Caratese will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Folgore Caratese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Folgore Caratese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
07.05.23	Caronnese - Folgore Caratese	1:3 ✺
30.04.23	Folgore Caratese - Ponte San Pietro Isola	2:2 ✺
23.04.23	Varese - Folgore Caratese	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Folgore Caratese - Arconatese	1:3 ✺
06.04.23	Brusaporto - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTLLW
- Varese FC
Italian Serie D - Group B
07.05.23	Varese - Lumezzane	0:2 ✺
30.04.23	Franciacorta - Varese	0:0 ✺
23.04.23	Varese - Folgore Caratese	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Caronnese - Varese	1:2 ✺
06.04.23	Varese - Ponte San Pietro Isola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
23.04.23	Varese - Folgore Caratese	1:0
11.12.22	Folgore Caratese - Varese	1:2
Italian Serie D - Group A
21.04.21	Folgore Caratese - Varese	1:0
27.01.21	Varese - Folgore Caratese	0:1

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