Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 21

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Fredrikstad Stadion (Fredrikstad)

Referee: Aslam U. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Fredrikstad		Sarpsborg 08

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.70	3.40	2.40
	2.5	3.5	2.65
	2.59	3.69	2.7
	2.58	3.59	2.58	Watch
	2.55	3.65	2.65
	2.54	3.56	2.65	Watch
	2.5	3.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.67)	3.54 ↓ (3.57)	2.59 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredrikstad
36.9%

Draw
26.7%

Sarpsborg 08
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

26.5%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

26.7%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08 Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Fredrikstad will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Sarpsborg will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Borsheim M. (G) 38. Amundsen I. 4. Holme F. 28. Owusu S. 16. Eid D. (C) 6. Leach S. 14. Nilsson M. 13. Sorlokk S. 7. Faraas B. 23. Skogvold H. 18. Fiabema B.	87. Oy L. (G) 12. Niyukuri C. 4. Utvik B. (C) 2. Lode M. 21. Hiim A. 10. Sorli S. 8. Christiansen S. 6. Sher A. 77. Skarsem O. 11. Karlsbakk D. 22. Halvorsen V. E.
Substitutes
12. Fredriksen U. 21. Jezierski J. 9. Laghzaoui S. 10. Nunez J. 24. Owusu L. 5. Rafn S. 30. Torkildsen J. (G) 29. Wesseh G. 11. West L.	18. Gueye B. 5. Hoyland L. 1. Larsen J. (G) 33. Nibe A. 15. Opoku M. 20. Reinhardsen P. 24. Rosted S. 32. Wichne E. 17. Williams N.
Coaches
Rojkjaer C.	Sel E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Nilsson M. ⚽, Amundsen I. (A),
20', Christiansen S. ↓, Opoku M. ↑,
28', 1 - 1, Skarsem O. ⚽, Sorli S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Opoku M. ↓, Nibe A. ↑,
61', Fiabema B. ↓, Laghzaoui S. ↑,
61', Owusu S. ↓, Rafn S. ↑,
61', Faraas B. ↓, West L. ↑,
68', Niyukuri C. ↓, Reinhardsen P. ↑,
77', Leach S. ↓, Owusu L. ↑,
87', Nilsson M. 🟨,
89', Rafn S. 🟨,
90', Sorli S. ↓, Williams N. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 3.

Fredrikstad is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sarpsborg has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sarpsborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Fredrikstad: Kvile S. (Knee Injury) Nysveen J. (Injury) Okpaleke K. (Injury)

There will not play in Sarpsborg: Carstensen F. (Injury) Rosted S. (Ankle Injury) Svenningsen Gronn M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Fredrikstad: Ghebreyohannes F. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:33. (average 0.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Fredrikstad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.8:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Fredrikstad	21	8	4	9	25:32	-7	28
9	Sarpsborg 08	21	6	7	8	24:29	-5	25

Last Results with these Odds

Fredrikstad - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 35.4%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
04.09.26	Fredrikstad - Bodø Glimt	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Lillestrøm SK - Fredrikstad	1:4 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.08.26	Eidsvold IF - Fredrikstad	1:7 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
16.08.26	Fredrikstad - Kristiansund	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Start - Fredrikstad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWWWW
- Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien
06.09.26	Sarpsborg 08 - Vålerenga	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Tromsø - Sarpsborg 08	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Sarpsborg 08 - Sandefjord	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Viking Stavanger - Sarpsborg 08	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Molde - Sarpsborg 08	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
09.05.26	Sarpsborg 08 - Fredrikstad	2:1
Norwegian NM Cup
08.03.26	Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08	2:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
08.11.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Fredrikstad	0:2
01.06.25	Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08	1:1
28.09.24	Sarpsborg 08 - Fredrikstad	0:1
13.04.24	Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08	2:2
Club Friendly
18.03.23	Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08	0:1

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