The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Follonica Gavorrano 61.8%
Draw 23.2%
SanGiovanniValdarno 15%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53%
26.3%
20.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.9%
24.9%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Follonica Gavorrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Follonica Gavorrano's performance.
SanGiovanniValdarno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SanGiovanniValdarno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Follonica Gavorrano that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SanGiovanniValdarno than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Follonica Gavorrano won 4.
Follonica Gavorrano in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
SanGiovanniValdarno is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
SanGiovanniValdarno could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Follonica Gavorrano have a series of home games.
In this match Follonica Gavorrano is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Follonica Gavorrano to win the game is with odds 1.66.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Follonica Gavorrano won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Follonica Gavorrano won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.
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