Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 17

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Fontinhas		Vitória de Sernache

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.8	2.65
	2.65	2.85	2.7
	2.52	2.83	2.69
	2.71	2.76	2.89
	2.57	2.88	2.7
	2.6	2.85	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.22)	2.83 ↓ (3.1)	2.72 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fontinhas
34.8%

Draw
32%

Vitória de Sernache
33.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

29.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

28.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fontinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fontinhas's form might have worsened.

Vitória de Sernache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fontinhas than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fontinhas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 9).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fontinhas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Fontinhas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Fontinhas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
21.01.24	União de Coimbra - Fontinhas	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Fontinhas - SC Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Rabo de Peixe - Fontinhas	0:1 ✺
10.12.23	União de Tomar - Fontinhas	0:1 ✺
03.12.23	Fontinhas - Alverca B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLWWL
- Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
21.01.24	Vitória de Sernache - União de Tomar	2:2 ✺
14.01.24	Alverca B - Vitória de Sernache	0:1 ✺
07.01.24	Vitória de Sernache - Mortágua	1:1 ✺
17.12.23	Vitória de Sernache - União de Santarém	0:2 ✺
10.12.23	Marinhense - Vitória de Sernache	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.09.23	Vitória de Sernache - Fontinhas	4:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.01.22	Fontinhas - Vitória de Sernache	2:2
03.10.21	Vitória de Sernache - Fontinhas	0:1
01.03.20	Fontinhas - Vitória de Sernache	0:1

Fontinhas - Vitória de Sernache

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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