Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 13

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Vitória de Sernache		União de Santarém

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	1.93
	3.6	3.25	1.95
	4.09	3.19	1.94
	4.09	3.19	1.94
	3.84	3.26	1.87
	3.8	3.2	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (3.06)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	1.92 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória de Sernache
23.9%

Draw
28.6%

União de Santarém
47.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.7%

27.5%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

27.6%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória de Sernache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitória de Sernache's form might have worsened.

União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitória de Sernache, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Sernache has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches União de Santarém is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

União de Santarém will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
10.12.23	Marinhense - Vitória de Sernache	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	Vitória de Sernache - Peniche	0:1 ✺
12.11.23	SB Castelo Branco - Vitória de Sernache	3:0 ✺
05.11.23	Vitória de Sernache - Gouveia	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	União de Coimbra - Vitória de Sernache	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- União de Santarém
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
10.12.23	União de Santarém - União de Coimbra	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	SC Lusitânia - União de Santarém	3:1 ✺
12.11.23	União de Santarém - Rabo de Peixe	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Fontinhas - União de Santarém	3:2 ✺
28.10.23	Alverca B - União de Santarém	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLL

Vitória de Sernache - União de Santarém

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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