Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 11

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Fontinhas		Alverca B

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.95	1.95
	3.75	3.1	1.95
	4.35	3.01	1.84
	4.36	3.01	1.84
	4.25	3.16	1.82
	3.75	3.1	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↓ (4.22)	3.06 ↑ (2.98)	1.89 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fontinhas
22.5%

Draw
29.6%

Alverca B
47.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.6%

30.6%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

29.5%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fontinhas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

The chances for Alverca B have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fontinhas than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca B than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Alverca B will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Fontinhas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
12.11.23	Mortágua - Fontinhas	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Fontinhas - União de Santarém	3:2 ✺
28.10.23	Fontinhas - Peniche	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Fontinhas - União de Coimbra	3:2 ✺
08.10.23	SB Castelo Branco - Fontinhas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLWL
- Alverca B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
12.11.23	Alverca B - União de Tomar	5:1 ✺
05.11.23	Sertanense - Alverca B	0:0 ✺
01.11.23	Mortágua - Alverca B	0:0 ✺
28.10.23	Alverca B - União de Santarém	3:1 ✺
08.10.23	Marinhense - Alverca B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTTWL

Fontinhas - Alverca B

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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