Match Info

ENGLAND: National League Cup - Round 2

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	National League TV


	Forest Green Rovers		Stoke City U21

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.3	4.09
	1.63	4.28	4.18	Watch
	1.64	4.3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 (1.64)	4.29 ↑ (4)	4.16 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
56.2%

Draw
21.5%

Stoke City U21
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

22.6%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

21.2%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

The chances for Stoke City U21 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City U21 than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Forest Green Rovers - Stoke City U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Pagel F. (G) 23. Cardwell H. 9. Doidge C. 32. Hughes I. 5. Inniss R. 21. Jenks T. 2. Lavinier M. 35. Merrett W. 14. Omotoye T. 46. Petrynski P. 31. Walsh S.	1. Brooks A. (G) 2. Agina S. 9. Chibueze C. 5. Griffin J. 11. Griffiths J. 4. Grogan C. 6. Gromek W. 7. Lipsiuc D. 3. Mears J. 8. Sidibe S. (C) 10. Tezgel E.
Substitutes
45. Aldridge J. 38. Bonnick A. 34. Conteh T. 41. Glover B. 30. Godfrey C. 39. Raut D. 44. Wilson K.	15. Adekoya D. 16. Bardsley R. 13. Cooper N. (G) 12. Enabulele O. 17. Jeffers R. 18. Otegbayo R. 14. Willox K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
5', Merrett W. 🟥,
6', 0 - 1, Tezgel E. (Pen),
18', 0 - 2, Tezgel E. ⚽,
39', 0 - 3, Tezgel E. ⚽, Sidibe S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Doidge C. ↓, Conteh T. ↑,
46', Cardwell H. ↓, Bonnick A. ↑,
46', Jenks T. ↓, Wilson K. ↑,
49', 0 - 4, Tezgel E. ⚽, Lipsiuc D. (A),
53', Hughes I. ↓, Aldridge J. ↑,
58', Omotoye T. 🟨,
60', Tezgel E. ↓, Jeffers R. ↑,
69', Chibueze C. ↓, Enabulele O. ↑,
70', Griffiths J. ↓, Adekoya D. ↑,
70', Walsh S. ↓, Raut D. ↑,
81', Agina S. ↓, Bardsley R. ↑,
81', Griffin J. ↓, Otegbayo R. ↑,

Preview

Forest Green is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stoke U21 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Forest Green could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Forest Green is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Stockport County - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ET ✺
English National League
26.10.24	Woking - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
22.10.24	Forest Green Rovers - Ebbsfleet United	3:1 ✺
19.10.24	Forest Green Rovers - Braintree Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Forest Green Rovers - Weymouth	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWWW
- Stoke City U21
English Premier League 2
02.11.24	Everton U21 - Stoke City U21	4:1 ✺
25.10.24	Stoke City U21 - Fulham U21	0:1 ✺
04.10.24	Stoke City U21 - Middlesbrough U21	1:3 ✺
27.09.24	Leicester City U21 - Stoke City U21	4:0 ✺
23.09.24	Stoke City U21 - Arsenal U21	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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