Match Info

SCOTLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 31

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Station Park (Forfar)


	Forfar Athletic		Albion Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.9
	2.25	3.2	2.8
	2.38	3.15	2.75
	2.31	3.51	2.89
	2	3.1	3.6
	2.35	3.3	2.88
	2.3	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.92)	3.22 ↓ (3.3)	2.95 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forfar Athletic
40.4%

Draw
28.5%

Albion Rovers
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27.5%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

22%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forfar Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Forfar Athletic's form might have worsened.

Albion Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Albion Rovers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forfar Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Forfar Athletic - Albion Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Forfar will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Albion will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Forfar won 4.

Recent matches Forfar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Albion is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Forfar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Forfar have a series of guest games.

Forfar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Forfar won 11 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 29-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Forfar won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forfar Athletic
Scottish League Two
29.03.23	Dumbarton - Forfar Athletic	0:1 ✺
25.03.23	Stenhousemuir - Forfar Athletic	1:1 ✺
21.03.23	Stirling Albion - Forfar Athletic	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Forfar Athletic - Annan Athletic	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	East Fife - Forfar Athletic	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTLWL
- Albion Rovers
Scottish League Two
25.03.23	Albion Rovers - Bonnyrigg Rose	0:1 ✺
21.03.23	Albion Rovers - Stranraer	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Dumbarton - Albion Rovers	1:5 ✺
04.03.23	Stirling Albion - Albion Rovers	3:2 ✺
25.02.23	Albion Rovers - Annan Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
28.01.23	Albion Rovers - Forfar Athletic	0:1
03.12.22	Forfar Athletic - Albion Rovers	1:0
17.09.22	Albion Rovers - Forfar Athletic	0:2
19.03.22	Albion Rovers - Forfar Athletic	0:0
05.02.22	Forfar Athletic - Albion Rovers	2:0
04.12.21	Albion Rovers - Forfar Athletic	2:3
25.09.21	Forfar Athletic - Albion Rovers	3:1

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