Match Info

SCOTLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 28

Date: 21 March 2023, Tuesday


	Albion Rovers		Stranraer

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.9
	2.2	3.25	2.75
	2.2	3.25	3
	2.31	3.36	3.05
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.22	3.44	2.99
	2.25	3.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.35)	3.25 ↓ (3.4)	2.93 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albion Rovers
40.7%

Draw
28.1%

Stranraer
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

26.6%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

25.9%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albion Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Stranraer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albion Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	12%	8%

Albion Rovers - Stranraer Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Albion will win (votes: 20 - 80%). Stranraer will win (votes: 2 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Albion: 64.3% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Albion won 2.

Albion is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Stranraer is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 24 head-to-head matches Albion won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 28-42.

Including matches at home between the teams Albion won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albion Rovers
Scottish League Two
18.03.23	Dumbarton - Albion Rovers	1:5 ✺
04.03.23	Stirling Albion - Albion Rovers	3:2 ✺
25.02.23	Albion Rovers - Annan Athletic	0:2 ✺
21.02.23	Albion Rovers - Elgin City	3:0 ✺
18.02.23	Stenhousemuir - Albion Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLWL
- Stranraer FC
Scottish League Two
18.03.23	Stranraer - Stirling Albion	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Stranraer - Dumbarton	0:2 ✺
25.02.23	Stranraer - East Fife	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Elgin City - Stranraer	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Stranraer - Bonnyrigg Rose	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
14.01.23	Stranraer - Albion Rovers	0:4
19.11.22	Albion Rovers - Stranraer	1:0
01.10.22	Stranraer - Albion Rovers	2:1
09.04.22	Albion Rovers - Stranraer	0:5
26.02.22	Stranraer - Albion Rovers	0:0
26.12.21	Albion Rovers - Stranraer	3:2
02.10.21	Stranraer - Albion Rovers	1:0

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