The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dumbarton 43.3%
Draw 25.8%
Forfar Athletic 30.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.7%
26.4%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.4%
25.3%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dumbarton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Forfar Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forfar Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Dumbarton - Forfar Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
54. Munn M. (G) 19. McKenna B. 5. Lang T. 3. Omar A. 24. Doyle M. (C) 21. Honeyman S. 8. Todd J. 6. Hartington O. 11. Sowa J. 15. McIntosh L. 20. Cleary R.
21. Stafford N. (G) 2. Lynas A. 4. Wyllie J. 5. Allan M. (C) 15. Lemon M. 19. Crombie E. 16. Arnott A. 9. Shepherd S. 12. Alston B. 10. Rennie M. 22. Perrie L.
Substitutes
10. Craig D. 27. Kirkpatrick K. 28. Mcconnell J. (G) 34. Robson T. 17. Spalding A. 7. Tomlinson S. 22. Turley F. 14. Wallace T. 4. Webster K.
11. Brown A. 20. Haddow A. 24. Hickey R. 7. MacLean R. 31. Simpson T. 26. Syme M. 25. Whatley M. 18. Wilson C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Perrie L. ⚽, Arnott A. (A),
27', Lang T. 🟨,
29', Lynas A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Wyllie J. 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, Cleary R. ⚽, Doyle M. (A),
67', Honeyman S. ↓, Kirkpatrick K. ↑,
67', Sowa J. ↓, Turley F. ↑,
68', Alston B. ↓, Haddow A. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Hartington O. ⚽,
73', Rennie M. ↓, Hickey R. ↑,
73', Shepherd S. ↓, Brown A. ↑,
77', Lemon M. ↓, Syme M. ↑,
77', Lynas A. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
82', McIntosh L. ↓, Craig D. ↑,
82', Cleary R. ↓, Webster K. ↑,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 8th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dumbarton won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Forfar may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Forfar has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Dumbarton is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dumbarton has recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:26 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dumbarton against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 19:15 goals (averaging 1.7:1.4 per game).
Outrights of Scottish League Two for now
Dumbarton: 3.97% Forfar Athletic: 3.2%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Dumbarton
9
4
0
5
10:15
-5
12
7
Forfar Athletic
9
3
2
4
9:15
-6
11
Last Results with these Odds
Forfar Athletic - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.86%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.
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Munn M. (G) 
Lang T. 
Omar A. 
Todd J. 
Sowa J. 
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