The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Forfar Athletic 20.4%
Draw 24.7%
Arbroath 54.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.9%
21.4%
58.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.2%
20.7%
60.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forfar Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forfar Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arbroath could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Forfar Athletic - Arbroath Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McCallum M. (G) 2. Martin L. 6. Dolzanski J. 7. MacLean R. 3. Scott C. 8. Slater C. 4. Morrison S. (C) 9. Shepherd S. 18. Lorimer L. 14. Mailer A. 10. Rennie M.
1. McAdams A. (G) 4. Wilkie J. 14. Callachan R. 15. Stenhouse L. 5. O'Brien T. 16. Watson C. 6. Muirhead A. 17. Marshall F. 22. Hickey R. 19. Todorov N. 18. Pettifer A.
Substitutes
5. Allan M. 12. Cannon N. 11. Inglis K. 15. Lemon M. 17. Richardson J. 21. Stafford N. (G) 16. Whatley M.
25. Cochrane H. 11. Dow R. 8. Flynn R. 9. Gallagher C. 21. Pettigrew J. (G) 10. Reilly G. 32. Spalding A. 2. Steele A. 12. Stewart S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Dolzanski J. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Shepherd S. ⚽, Rennie M. (A),
31', Morrison S. 🟨,
45+1', Mailer A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Callachan R. ↓, Cochrane H. ↑,
46', Scott C. ↓, Lemon M. ↑,
56', Stenhouse L. ↓, Stewart S. ↑,
57', Hickey R. ↓, Dow R. ↑,
64', Muirhead A. 🟨,
69', Watson C. ↓, Steele A. ↑,
69', Lorimer L. ↓, Cannon N. ↑,
69', Mailer A. ↓, Inglis K. ↑,
75', Rennie M. ↓, Allan M. ↑,
82', MacLean R. ↓, Richardson J. ↑,
90', Shepherd S. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forfar won 3.
Forfar is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Arbroath has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Forfar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Arbroath has had a series of home games.
In this match, Arbroath is considered a favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Forfar won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:35. (average 0.9:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Forfar won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.9:1.6).
Watch
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McCallum M. (G) 
Todorov N. 
Pettifer A. 
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