The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arbroath 23.4%
Draw 28.2%
Raith Rovers 48.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
22.5%
28.4%
49.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.5%
28.5%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arbroath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Raith Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Arbroath - Raith Rovers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 8th and 3rd in the Promotion - Premiership (Promotion: Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Arbroath (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Raith have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this matchup, Raith is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Arbroath has recorded 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:37 (averaging 1.2:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Arbroath against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:11 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Raith
12
6
3
3
16:9
7
21
8
Arbroath
12
3
2
7
7:18
-11
11
Last Results with these Odds
Raith Rovers - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.08%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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