The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arbroath 23.3%
Draw 28.5%
St. Mirren 48.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.8%
27.9%
42.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arbroath's form might have worsened.
St. Mirren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Mirren's recent form is better than expected.
Arbroath - St. Mirren Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McAdams A. (G) 6. Beadling T. 11. Dow R. 15. McGill S. 2. Morrison S. 5. O'Brien T. (C) 4. Paterson B. 17. Robinson S. 12. Stewart S. 26. Trialist 9. Winter A.
35. Tamosevicius G. (G) 8. Carr R. 32. Douglas L. 38. Falconer T. 13. Gogic A. (C) 36. Hutchinson B. 7. Idowu R. 5. King R. 37. McEvoy C. 10. Ramos S. 88. Trialist H
Substitutes
. Gold D. . Hamilton C. . Pettigrew J. (G) . Reilly G. . Trialist A . Trialist B . Trialist C . Trialist D . Trialist E . Trialist F . Trialist G
. Calvin J. . Clark I. . Fraser M. . John D. . McCormick T. . Mochrie C. R. . Richardson J. . Taylor F. . Thompson S. . Trialist I . Urminsky P. (G) . Young J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 1 - 0, Dow R. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Idowu R. (Penalty Awarded),
32', 1 - 2, Idowu R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 1 - 3, Richardson J. ⚽,
58', 1 - 4, McCormick T. ⚽,
88', 2 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
St. Mirren has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
St. Mirren is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Arbroath won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Arbroath - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 29.77%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.