Match Info

League Two - Round 1

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Station Park (Forfar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Forfar Athletic		Kelty Hearts

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.50	1.95
	3.10	3.20	2.05
	3.20	3.30	1.94
	3.36	3.64	2.03
	2.8	3.6	2.22	Watch
	3.15	3.60	2.00
	3.36	3.62	2.02
	3.20	3.45	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (3.08)	3.49 ↓ (3.67)	2.03 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forfar Athletic
28.8%

Draw
26.2%

Kelty Hearts
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

24.8%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

24.1%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forfar Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Kelty Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forfar Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Forfar Athletic - Kelty Hearts Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Stafford N. (G) 2. Lynas A. 4. Wyllie J. 5. Allan M. 15. Lemon M. 20. Haddow A. 14. Mailer A. (C) 16. Arnott A. 7. MacLean R. 9. Shepherd S. 10. Rennie M.	1. Smith J. (G) 5. Flatman C. 35. Brydon J. (C) 4. Corr D. 25. Walker G. 26. Cunningham R. 8. McManus C. 6. Ferguson A. 23. Moore L. 7. Moffett F. 29. Shanley R.
Substitutes
26. Alston B. 11. Brown A. 22. Gadsden T. 1. McCallum M. (G) 19. Pasnik T. 17. Richardson J. 25. Whatley M. 18. Wilson C.	21. Adamson R. (G) 11. Cole R. 24. Fellows C. 22. Flatman Z. 3. Hannah C. 9. Higginbotham K. 10. Murray I. 28. Snoddy J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Brydon J. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Mailer A. ⚽, Haddow A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Recent form of Forfar has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kelty Hearts's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kelty Hearts will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forfar won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Forfar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Outrights of Scottish League Two for now

Kelty Hearts: 10.33% Forfar Athletic: 3.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Kelty Hearts	9	4	0	5	13:18	-5	12
7	Forfar Athletic	9	3	2	4	9:15	-6	11

Last Results with these Odds

Forfar Athletic - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.62%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forfar Athletic
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Forfar Athletic - Brechin City	3:1 ✺
21.07.26	Livingston - Forfar Athletic	8:0 ✺
14.07.26	Forfar Athletic - Partick Thistle	0:4 ✺
11.07.26	Stenhousemuir - Forfar Athletic	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.06.26	Forfar Athletic - St. Johnstone	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL
- Kelty Hearts
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Aberdeen - Kelty Hearts	3:0 ✺
21.07.26	Kelty Hearts - Brora Rangers	3:2 ✺
14.07.26	Kelty Hearts - Queens Park	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Queen of the South - Kelty Hearts	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Kelty Hearts - Dunfermline Athletic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
23.08.22	Forfar Athletic - Kelty Hearts	1:2
Scottish League Two
23.04.22	Kelty Hearts - Forfar Athletic	1:1
19.02.22	Forfar Athletic - Kelty Hearts	1:0
13.11.21	Kelty Hearts - Forfar Athletic	1:0
14.08.21	Forfar Athletic - Kelty Hearts	2:2

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