The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Forfar Athletic 28.2%
Draw 24.8%
Peterhead 47%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.4%
22.6%
50%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.4%
21.8%
51.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forfar Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Peterhead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forfar Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterhead than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Forfar Athletic - Peterhead Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
72', 0 - 1, Yule B. ⚽, Mcluckie B. (A),
90+2', 0 - 2, Megginson M. ⚽, Keir L. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forfar won 0.
In recent outings, Forfar has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Peterhead has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Forfar may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Peterhead is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Forfar has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:28 (averaging 1.5:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Forfar against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:12 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Peterhead ✔
5
4
0
1
11:4
7
12
24
Forfar Athletic
5
2
1
2
5:7
-2
7
Last Results with these Odds
Peterhead - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.02%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.