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Current Win Probability
Edinburgh City 51.5%
Draw 26.1%
Forfar Athletic 22.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
26.1%
25.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
25.9%
25.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Edinburgh City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Forfar Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edinburgh City than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forfar Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
0%
12.5%
Edinburgh City - Forfar Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
Edinburgh City will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Dowie S. (G) 5. Grigor J. 23. McGregor J. 21. Rowe F. 3. Walker J. 6. Leitch J. (C) 2. McGinn C. 11. Lawson I. 18. Aiken M. 7. Walker L. 24. Foster K.
21. Stafford N. (G) 2. Lynas A. 4. Wyllie J. 6. Dolzanski J. 14. Mailer A. (C) 20. Haddow A. 12. Alston B. 16. Arnott A. 26. Ashworth H. 9. Shepherd S. 10. Rennie M.
Substitutes
15. Brodie C. 17. Bunker C. 25. Glasgow E. 20. North T. 4. Pitt C. 1. Weir M. (G)
11. Brown A. 22. Gadsden T. 15. Lemon M. 1. McKeever C. (G) 19. Pasnik T. 25. Whatley M. 18. Wilson C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Haddow A. 🟨,
39', Walker J. ↓, Glasgow E. ↑,
40', McGregor J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Lynas A. 🟨,
62', Walker L. ↓, North T. ↑,
63', Alston B. ↓, Brown A. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Shepherd S. ⚽, Wyllie J. (A),
74', Lawson I. 🟨,
77', 1 - 1, McGregor J. ⚽,
80', Foster K. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Foster K. ↓, Bunker C. ↑,
81', McGregor J. ↓, Brodie C. ↑,
83', Rennie M. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
86', Brodie C. 🟨,
88', Glasgow E. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone League Two (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edinburgh City won 1.
Edinburgh City has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Forfar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Edinburgh City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Edinburgh City won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Edinburgh City won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.8:1).
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Dowie S. (G) 
McKeever C. (G) 
Pasnik T. 
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