Match Info

Canadian Premier League

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Tim Hortons Field (Hamilton, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network, OneSoccer
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2, SportsEngine Play


	Forge		Atlético Ottawa

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.80	4.75
	1.52	3.65	5.10
	1.62	3.95	5.70
	1.63	4.05	4.94	Watch
	1.59	3.95	4.75
	1.64	3.90	4.95	Watch
	1.55	3.80	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.55)	3.87 ↓ (4.14)	5.06 ↓ (5.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forge
58%

Draw
23.8%

Atlético Ottawa
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

22.5%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

21.6%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Atlético Ottawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Ottawa than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Forge - Atlético Ottawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Bertaud D. (G) 24. Rama R. 5. Nimick D. 8. Batisse A. 3. Jevremovic M. 26. Sadek A. 23. Aromatario A. 10. Bekker K. (C) 87. Bourgeois M. 9. Wright B. 17. Massunda H.	31. Kalongo C. (G) 18. Mbomio R. 28. Cloutier L. 84. Kozlovskiy S. 20. Coulanges J. 2. Castro J. 10. Aparicio M. (C) 6. Gutierrez D. 11. Antinoro G. 13. Tabla B. 21. Fleuriau Chateau N.
Substitutes
11. Ampomah N. 18. Babouli M. 36. Bontis D. (G) 19. Borges T. 55. James M. 7. Oketokoun I. 6. Paton B.	37. Arnaud T. 14. Assi J. 1. Crampton T. (G) 3. Dunn J. 7. Garcia E. 30. Habibullah K. 19. Khoury R.
Coaches
Smyrniotis B.	Gustavo Leal

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Aparicio M. 🟨,
39', Bekker K. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Bekker K. ⚽, Massunda H. (A),
65', Kozlovskiy S. 🟨,
66', Mbomio R. 🟨,
71', Mbomio R. ↓, Arnaud T. ↑,
71', Castro J. ↓, Habibullah K. ↑,
71', Wright B. 🟨,
72', Massunda H. ↓, Ampomah N. ↑,
72', Wright B. ↓, Oketokoun I. ↑,
79', Sadek A. ↓, Borges T. ↑,
79', Bekker K. ↓, Paton B. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Bourgeois M. ⚽, Oketokoun I. (A),
81', Antinoro G. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
81', Gutierrez D. ↓, Khoury R. ↑,
81', Batisse A. ↓, James M. ↑,
82', Oketokoun I. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 0, Bourgeois M. ⚽, Oketokoun I. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forge won 2.

Forge has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético Ottawa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Forge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Forge is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Forge won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Forge won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Forge ✔	24	14	6	4	38:20	18	48
3	Atl. Ottawa	25	12	4	9	38:41	-3	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forge FC
Canadian Premier League
05.09.26	Forge - Inter Toronto	1:1 ✺
Canadian Championship
01.09.26	Supra du Québec - Forge	1:1 ✺
Canadian Premier League
28.08.26	Supra du Québec - Forge	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Forge - Pacific FC	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Forge - Supra du Québec	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTLWW
- Atlético Ottawa
Canadian Premier League
05.09.26	Atlético Ottawa - Pacific FC	0:0 ✺
28.08.26	Atlético Ottawa - Inter Toronto	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Cavalry - Atlético Ottawa	3:1 ✺
19.08.26	Atlético Ottawa - Vancouver FC	4:0 ✺
16.08.26	Supra du Québec - Atlético Ottawa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Canadian Premier League
24.05.26	Atlético Ottawa - Forge	2:1
04.04.26	Forge - Atlético Ottawa	2:0
26.10.25	Forge - Atlético Ottawa	1:2
21.09.25	Atlético Ottawa - Forge	1:1
17.08.25	Forge - Atlético Ottawa	2:0
12.07.25	Atlético Ottawa - Forge	1:1
13.05.25	Forge - Atlético Ottawa	2:2

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