Match Info

Canadian Premier League

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: TD Place Stadium (Ottawa, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network, OneSoccer
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Atlético Ottawa		Inter Toronto

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.00	4.00
	1.66	3.95	4.25
	1.71	4.15	4.41
	1.74	4.49	3.75	Watch
	1.56	4.70	4.15
	1.71	3.98	4.30	Watch
	1.67	3.90	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.81)	4.17 ↑ (3.89)	4.14 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Ottawa
55.5%

Draw
22.2%

Inter Toronto
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

24%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

23.5%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Ottawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Inter Toronto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Ottawa than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Toronto than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Atlético Ottawa - Inter Toronto Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Atlético Ottawa (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Ottawa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kalongo C. (G) 18. Mbomio R. 28. Cloutier L. 5. Aguilar D. 14. Assi J. 10. Aparicio M. (C) 37. Arnaud T. 11. Antinoro G. 30. Habibullah K. 21. Fleuriau Chateau N. 13. Tabla B.	12. Pavela I. (G) 3. Singh L. 5. Sturing F. 4. Leon O. (C) 8. Guzman C. 7. Yeates S. 10. Bassett O. 23. Cordova J. 39. Badibanga B. 9. Gonzales S. 11. Almagro A.
Substitutes
2. Castro J. 20. Coulanges J. 1. Crampton T. (G) 3. Dunn J. 7. Garcia E. 19. Khoury R. 84. Kozlovskiy S.	13. Accettola L. 37. Andrada N. 17. Campos A. 36. Clarke K. 28. Costa J. 16. Ferrari M. 6. Lopez R.
Coaches
Gustavo Leal	Eustaquio M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Yeates S. ⚽, Singh L. (A),
18', Sturing F. 🟨,
42', Aparicio M. 🟨,
44', Bassett O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Assi J. ↓, Kozlovskiy S. ↑,
57', Almagro A. 🟨,
61', Kozlovskiy S. 🟨,
64', Arnaud T. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
64', Aguilar D. ↓, Coulanges J. ↑,
69', Gonzales S. ↓, Ferrari M. ↑,
69', Gonzales S. 🟥,
69', Gustavo Leal 🟨,
73', 1 - 1, Tabla B. ⚽, Antinoro G. (A),
78', Castro J. 🟨,
80', Badibanga B. ↓, Clarke K. ↑,
81', Cloutier L. 🟨,
82', Habibullah K. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
86', Yeates S. ↓, Accettola L. ↑,
90+8', 2 - 1, Fleuriau Chateau N. ⚽, Mbomio R. (A),
90+9', Fleuriau Chateau N. 🟨,
90+10', Tabla B. ↓, Khoury R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Ottawa won 1.

Atlético Ottawa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Inter Toronto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atlético Ottawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Atlético Ottawa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Ottawa won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:32. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Ottawa won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.5:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Atl. Ottawa	25	12	4	9	38:41	-3	40
7	Inter Toronto	25	6	9	10	40:56	-16	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Ottawa
Canadian Premier League
22.08.26	Cavalry - Atlético Ottawa	3:1 ✺
19.08.26	Atlético Ottawa - Vancouver FC	4:0 ✺
16.08.26	Supra du Québec - Atlético Ottawa	1:2 ✺
Canadian Championship
11.08.26	Atlético Ottawa - Supra du Québec	3:3 ✺
Canadian Premier League
08.08.26	Atlético Ottawa - HFX Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWTW
- Inter Toronto FC
Canadian Premier League
23.08.26	Inter Toronto - Supra du Québec	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Inter Toronto - HFX Wanderers	4:3 ✺
08.08.26	Pacific FC - Inter Toronto	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Cavalry - Inter Toronto	5:0 ✺
26.07.26	Inter Toronto - Forge	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Canadian Premier League
17.07.26	Atlético Ottawa - Inter Toronto	1:1
01.05.26	Inter Toronto - Atlético Ottawa	4:1
14.09.25	Inter Toronto - Atlético Ottawa	2:2
03.08.25	Atlético Ottawa - Inter Toronto	0:0
Canadian Championship
08.07.25	Inter Toronto - Atlético Ottawa	3:4
Canadian Premier League
22.06.25	Inter Toronto - Atlético Ottawa	0:0
Canadian Championship
11.06.25	Atlético Ottawa - Inter Toronto	2:1

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