Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 10

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Formentera		Lleida

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.2	1.83
	4.34	3.12	1.93
	4.34	3.12	1.93
	4.1	3.13	1.86
	4	3.15	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↓ (4.4)	3.14 ↓ (3.48)	1.88 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Formentera
21.7%

Draw
29.3%

Lleida
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

26.1%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

25.4%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Formentera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Lleida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lleida could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Formentera won 2.

Formentera is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lleida is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lleida could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lleida will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Formentera won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Formentera won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Formentera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
29.10.23	Badalona Futur - Formentera	1:0 ✺
25.10.23	La Nucía - Formentera	0:2 ✺
22.10.23	Formentera - Peña Deportiva	1:2 ✺
15.10.23	Manresa - Formentera	3:0 ✺
08.10.23	Formentera - Atlético Saguntino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLLT
- Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
29.10.23	Lleida - Espanyol B	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Lleida - Valencia B	3:2 ✺
15.10.23	Badalona Futur - Lleida	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Lleida - Peña Deportiva	3:2 ✺
01.10.23	Manresa - Lleida	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
19.02.23	Lleida - Formentera	2:0
02.10.22	Formentera - Lleida	0:1
20.03.22	Lleida - Formentera	2:1
31.10.21	Formentera - Lleida	2:1
01.04.18	Lleida - Formentera	0:1
05.11.17	Formentera - Lleida	1:0

Formentera - Lleida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide