Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 31

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday


	Formentera		Sant Andreu

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.15
	3.3	3.2	2.15
	3.21	3.24	2.21
	3.21	3.24	2.22
	3.32	3.07	2.2
	2.65	3.1	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.7)	3.16 ↑ (2.9)	2.24 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Formentera
29.6%

Draw
29.2%

Sant Andreu
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

30.9%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

31.9%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Formentera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Sant Andreu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sant Andreu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sant Andreu than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sant Andreu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Formentera - Sant Andreu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Bertino G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', 1 - 1, Paredes Toni ⚽,
77', 2 - 1, Domingo J. ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, Filgueira Pazos J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Formentera is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sant Andreu is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Formentera won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Formentera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
07.04.24	Torrent - Formentera	3:0 ✺
31.03.24	Valencia B - Formentera	4:2 ✺
24.03.24	Formentera - Espanyol B	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Lleida - Formentera	3:0 ✺
10.03.24	Formentera - Badalona Futur	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTLT
- UE Sant Andreu
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
07.04.24	Sant Andreu - Espanyol B	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Lleida - Sant Andreu	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Sant Andreu - Badalona Futur	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Peña Deportiva - Sant Andreu	1:3 ✺
10.03.24	Sant Andreu - Manresa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.12.23	Sant Andreu - Formentera	1:0

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