Match Info

USL League One

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Ruoff Mortgage Stadium (Fort Wayne, IN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Fort Wayne		Charlotte Independence

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	3.3	1.95
	3.7	3.3	1.85
	3.32	3	1.79
	4.19	2.51	2.31	Watch
	3	3.25	2.05
	2.94	3.18	2.24
	2.6	3.2	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.6)	3.11 ↓ (3.2)	2.09 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fort Wayne
27.6%

Draw
29.1%

Charlotte Independence
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

28.2%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

27.1%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fort Wayne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fort Wayne's form might have worsened.

Charlotte Independence has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charlotte Independence's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fort Wayne than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fort Wayne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charlotte Independence, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fort Wayne - Charlotte Independence Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schipmann B. (C) 22. Hernandez A. 4. Dias T. 19. Solis J. 13. Rempel M. 86. Armas J. 9. Oyetunde D. 6. Jordan J. 2. Smith J. 11. Healy T. 7. Ricol L.	28. Levy M. (G) 17. Dimick C. (C) 14. Manin R. 5. Romero J. 3. Skinner J. 24. Amaya J. 8. Jaime C. 10. Bakero J. 19. Martinez E. 11. Ortiz V. 9. Manzinga C.
Substitutes
30. Abbey I. 10. Awoudor C. 20. Burns N. 96. Echevarria A. 12. Gafar K. 8. Garay J. 33. Hagaman T. 18. Nieto E. 5. Sproat R.	16. Lyons M. 26. Marou S. 21. Nare T. 7. Saydee P. 1. Tasouris G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Healy T. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Manzinga C. ⚽, Skinner J. (A),
10', 2 - 1, Smith J. ⚽,
16', 2 - 2, Martinez E. ⚽, Bakero J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Martinez E. ↓, Marou S. ↑,
66', Hernandez A. ↓, Nieto E. ↑,
66', Oyetunde D. ↓, Abbey I. ↑,
70', Manzinga C. 🟨,
71', Solis J. 🟨,
72', Bakero J. 🟨,
73', Bakero J. ↓, Saydee P. ↑,
73', Manzinga C. ↓, Lyons M. ↑,
77', Smith J. ↓, Gafar K. ↑,
77', Healy T. ↓, Awoudor C. ↑,
83', Solis J. ↓, Sproat R. ↑,
86', Skinner J. ↓, Nare T. ↑,
87', Jordan J. 🟨,

Preview

Recent form of Fort Wayne has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Charlotte Ind has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Charlotte Ind may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Charlotte Independ. ✔	29	18	6	5	67:42	25	60
8	Fort Wayne	29	11	9	9	45:37	8	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fort Wayne FC
USL Cup
25.04.26	Louisville City - Fort Wayne	3:1 ✺
USL League One
11.04.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Fort Wayne	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	New York Cosmos - Fort Wayne	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Sarasota Paradise - Fort Wayne	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Naples - Fort Wayne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLTL
- Charlotte Independence
USL Cup
25.04.26	Richmond Kickers - Charlotte Independence	1:2 ✺
USL League One
18.04.26	One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.26	Charlotte - Charlotte Independence	6:0 ✺
USL League One
03.04.26	New York Cosmos - Charlotte Independence	3:2 ✺
US Open Cup
31.03.26	Charlotte Independence - Charleston Battery	3:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLLLW

Upcoming Matches