Match Info

USL League One

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: City Stadium (Richmond, VA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Richmond Kickers		Charlotte Independence

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.40	3.70	1.78
	3.3	3.85	1.8
	3.45	4.12	1.81
	3.47	4.25	1.83	Watch
	3.35	3.95	1.77
	3.71	3.82	1.73	Watch
	3.25	3.9	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↓ (3.7)	3.94 ↑ (3.85)	1.79 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richmond Kickers
26.5%

Draw
22.9%

Charlotte Independence
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

23.2%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

22.8%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richmond Kickers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+3%)

Richmond Kickers - Charlotte Independence Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fillion Y. (G) 26. Murana M. 4. Layton S. 22. Vinberg S. 34. Howell B. 45. Hanson H. 12. O'Malley O. 2. Barnathan D. 10. Seufert N. (C) 11. Pannholzer T. 23. Freeman T.	28. Levy M. (G) 17. Dimick C. (C) 22. Riascos K. 5. Romero J. 3. Skinner J. 8. Jaime C. 14. Manin R. 10. Bakero J. 19. Martinez E. 9. Manzinga C. 26. Marou S.
Substitutes
18. Amer A. 32. Bolduc M. 44. Gallegos A. 70. Lucca Dourado 99. Moore D. 6. Sasankhah A. 35. Sneddon J. (G) 14. Vazquez Z. 13. Wintsch A. (G)	24. Amaya J. 6. Fuchs J. 13. Guffroy M. 2. Ngah F. 11. Ortiz V. 29. Stefano Pinho 1. Tasouris G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, O'Malley O. (Own goal),
12', 1 - 1, Pannholzer T. ⚽, O'Malley O. (A),
15', Manin R. 🟨,
42', 1 - 2, Skinner J. ⚽, Bakero J. (A),
44', Freeman T. 🟨,
44', Romero J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Murana M. ↓, Bolduc M. ↑,
62', Manin R. ↓, Fuchs J. ↑,
67', Manzinga C. 🟨,
68', Barnathan D. ↓, Sasankhah A. ↑,
72', Hanson H. 🟨,
74', Freeman T. ↓, Lucca Dourado ↑,
74', Pannholzer T. ↓, Vazquez Z. ↑,
74', Dimick C. 🟨,
76', Martinez E. ↓, Amaya J. ↑,
76', Manzinga C. ↓, Ortiz V. ↑,
78', Hanson H. ↓, Moore D. ↑,
80', Sasankhah A. 🟨,
82', Marou S. ↓, Stefano Pinho ↑,
82', Bakero J. ↓, Ngah F. ↑,
90+2', Amaya J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richmond Kickers won 0.

Richmond Kickers is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Charlotte Ind shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Charlotte Ind may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Charlotte Ind carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Richmond Kickers has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:31 (averaging 1.1:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Richmond Kickers against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with 12:15 goals (averaging 1.3:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Charlotte Independ. ✔	29	18	6	5	67:42	25	60
17	Richmond Kickers	29	6	5	18	30:60	-30	23

Last Results with these Odds

Richmond Kickers - the odds 3.7 are the expected chance of winning is 24.17%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richmond Kickers
USL League One
16.09.26	Westchester SC - Richmond Kickers	5:2 ✺
12.09.26	Richmond Kickers - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:1 ✺
02.09.26	Fort Wayne - Richmond Kickers	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Richmond Kickers - Forward Madison	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Richmond Kickers - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLLT
- Charlotte Independence
USL League One
16.09.26	Boise - Charlotte Independence	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Charlotte Independence - Westchester SC	5:4 ✺
05.09.26	Union Omaha - Charlotte Independence	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Charlotte Independence - Portland Hearts of Pine	3:2 ✺
28.08.26	Charlotte Independence - AV Alta	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
25.07.26	Charlotte Independence - Richmond Kickers	3:1
USL Cup
25.04.26	Richmond Kickers - Charlotte Independence	1:2
USL League One
20.09.25	Richmond Kickers - Charlotte Independence	2:3
USL Cup
26.07.25	Charlotte Independence - Richmond Kickers	3:0
USL League One
15.03.25	Charlotte Independence - Richmond Kickers	1:0
26.10.24	Richmond Kickers - Charlotte Independence	0:1
14.09.24	Charlotte Independence - Richmond Kickers	0:1

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