Match Info

Copa do Brasil U20 - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV


	Fortaleza U20		São Paulo U20

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.35	2.02
	3.16	3.25	2.02
	5.28	3.92	1.56	Watch
	3.17	3.3	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (3.23)	3.46 ↑ (3.43)	1.92 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza U20
25.1%

Draw
26.7%

São Paulo U20
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

26.4%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

25.2%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

São Paulo U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza U20 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Fortaleza U20 - São Paulo U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Pedro Ferreira ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 2, Santana G. ⚽,
90+7', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

São Paulo U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

São Paulo U20 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza U20 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza U20
Copa do Brasil U20
06.11.25	Bahia U20 - Fortaleza U20	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Fortaleza U20 - Bahia U20	3:1 ✺
23.10.25	Fortaleza U20 - Piauí U20	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Cearense U20
18.10.25	Fortaleza U20 - Ferroviário Fortaleza U20	3:1 ✺
12.10.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza U20 - Fortaleza U20	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWWW
- São Paulo U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
09.11.25	Santos U20 - São Paulo U20	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil U20
05.11.25	São Paulo U20 - Grêmio U20	1:0 ✺
30.10.25	Grêmio U20 - São Paulo U20	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
25.10.25	Guarani U20 - São Paulo U20	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil U20
22.10.25	São Paulo U20 - Operário de Caarapó U20	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
02.04.25	Fortaleza U20 - São Paulo U20	1:1
14.08.24	São Paulo U20 - Fortaleza U20	1:1
13.04.23	São Paulo U20 - Fortaleza U20	0:1
16.07.22	Fortaleza U20 - São Paulo U20	0:1
15.08.21	Fortaleza U20 - São Paulo U20	0:1

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