Match Info

BANGLADESH: Premier League - Round 14

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Fortis		Sheikh Russel KC

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.87	2.95
	2.3	2.95	3.1	Watch
	2.36	2.66	2.96
	2.37	2.96	2.97
	2.32	2.9	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.31)	2.87 ↓ (2.9)	3.02 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortis
38.7%

Draw
31.4%

Sheikh Russel KC
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

31.3%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

26.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Sheikh Russel KC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortis than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheikh Russel KC than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ray S. (G) 23. Alam D. 10. Babou P. 17. Gryshyn V. 4. Hossain S. M. 5. Jumaev J. 21. Mona M. 2. Omar A. 16. Rashed R. I. 31. Sarr O. 20. Sourav M. I.	1. Marma M. (G) 23. Alam M. 6. Emon Mahmud M. 15. Ganto M. 8. Iida K. 5. Ogungbe G. 20. Reza S. 26. Roy C. 24. Roy D. 44. Stepanenko V. 45. Sylla S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 1 - 0, Babou P. ⚽, Gryshyn V. (A),
35', Rashed R. I. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Ogungbe G. ⚽, Roy D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ganto M. ↓, Sagor Miah M. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Roy D. ⚽, Alam M. (A),
89', Omar A. 🟨,
90+7', Emon Mahmud M. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 8).

Fortis is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sheikh Russel has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sheikh Russel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fortis won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Fortis won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortis FC
Bangladesh Federation Cup
30.04.24	Fortis - Abahani Limited	1:3 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
26.04.24	Rahmatganj - Fortis	1:2 ✺
20.04.24	Fortis - Bashundhara Kings	0:1 ✺
05.04.24	Abahani Limited - Fortis	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	Mohammedan - Fortis	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLTL
- Sheikh Russel KC
Bangladesh BFL
26.04.24	Sheikh Russel KC - Abahani Limited	0:1 ✺
19.04.24	Bangladesh Police - Sheikh Russel KC	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Sheikh Russel KC - Mohammedan	1:3 ✺
Bangladesh Federation Cup
02.04.24	Mohammedan - Sheikh Russel KC	2:1 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
29.03.24	Sheikh Jamal - Sheikh Russel KC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Bangladesh BFL
27.01.24	Sheikh Russel KC - Fortis	0:0
Bangladesh Federation Cup
23.01.24	Sheikh Russel KC - Fortis	1:3
Bangladesh BFL
07.07.23	Sheikh Russel KC - Fortis	2:0
10.02.23	Fortis - Sheikh Russel KC	0:1

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