Match Info

3. Liga - Round 8

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hilsberg S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	19:30	SportKlub 3
Czech Republic	19:30	Oneplay
Germany	19:30	DFB Play, Magenta Sport
Slovenia	19:30	SportKlub 5
Usa	13:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
International	17:30	OneFootball TV


	Fortuna Düsseldorf		Verl

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.50	3.60	Watch
	1.85	3.70	3.75
	1.75	3.90	3.85	Watch
	1.92	3.87	3.90
	1.77	4	3.95	Watch
	1.84	3.80	3.85
	1.89	3.66	3.77	Watch
	1.90	3.70	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.65)	3.77 ↓ (4.23)	3.78 ↓ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Düsseldorf
50.6%

Draw
24.7%

Verl
24.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56%

21.8%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

21%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortuna Düsseldorf's form might have worsened.

Verl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortuna Düsseldorf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verl than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Verl Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Lord L. (G) 2. van der Sloot S. 15. Oberdorf T. 4. Bornschein L. 7. Wekesser E. 6. Muller A. 38. Arden E. 8. Hendrix J. (C) 10. Forster P. 34. Slimani A. 24. Schleusener F.	1. Schlieck T. (G) 34. Berner J. 22. Konig N. 5. Seidel N. 19. Kijewski N. (C) 8. Waidner D. 6. Eze J. 21. Clausen M. 30. Mesanovic A. 20. Leipold A. 25. Heike T.
Substitutes
16. Benger M. 5. Bouchama Y. 14. Consbruch J. 23. Gerezgiher F. 18. Goncalves M. 27. Paulina J. 1. Riess L. (G) 28. Risch S. 25. Zimmermann M.	2. Araoye R. 29. Bamba E. 11. Kaube M. 14. Lehmann P. 24. Martinovic D. 17. Otto Y. 32. Pekruhl F. (G) 23. Rabihic K. 18. Wessig F.
Coaches
Ende A.	Shala O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', Muller A. 🟨,
37', Seidel N. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Oberdorf T. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Heike T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 2 - 1, Hendrix J. ⚽,
56', 2 - 2, Berner J. ⚽,
59', Wekesser E. 🟨,
67', Seidel N. ↓, Araoye R. ↑,
70', Forster P. ↓, Consbruch J. ↑,
70', Slimani A. ↓, Paulina J. ↑,
70', Wekesser E. ↓, Risch S. ↑,
73', Hendrix J. ↓, Bouchama Y. ↑,
78', Arden E. 🟨,
80', Eze J. ↓, Wessig F. ↑,
84', Oberdorf T. 🟨,
85', Arden E. ↓, Benger M. ↑,
86', Heike T. ↓, Martinovic D. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 11th and 12th).

Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

Fortuna could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Fortuna for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Fortuna has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:2.

Specifically in home fixtures for Fortuna against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Dusseldorf	11	4	3	4	12:14	-2	15
15	Verl	11	3	3	5	16:22	-6	12

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

Dusseldorf: 7.35% Verl: 0.73%

Last Results with these Odds

Fortuna Düsseldorf - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.96%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 3 Bundesliga
19.09.26	Alemannia Aachen - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
15.09.26	Jahn Regensburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Duisburg	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Fortuna Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:0 ✺
28.08.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - VfB Stuttgart II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWTW
- SC Verl
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Hannover - Verl	2:0 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
18.09.26	Verl - Würzburger Kickers	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Verl	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Verl - Meppen	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Waldhof Mannheim - Verl	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.03.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Verl	2:2

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