Match Info

3. Liga - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf)

Referee: Schwengers P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, WDR Fernsehen
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Sifir
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Fortuna Düsseldorf		Duisburg

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.75	3.50	2.35
	2.62	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.71	3.53	2.63
	2.71	3.55	2.38	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.6
	2.63	3.4	2.3	Watch
	2.65	3.35	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.42)	3.42 ↓ (3.48)	2.46 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Düsseldorf
35.1%

Draw
27.2%

Duisburg
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

26.1%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

26.2%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Duisburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Lord L. (G) 25. Zimmermann M. 15. Oberdorf T. 44. Egouli E. 28. Risch S. 6. Muller A. 34. Slimani A. 10. Forster P. 5. Bouchama Y. 8. Hendrix J. 24. Schleusener F.	1. Braune M. (G) 29. Bitter J. 5. Fleckstein T. 6. Bulic R. 4. Ens M. 27. Coskun C. 23. Symalla J. 10. Viet C. 8. Casar A. 37. Sussek P. 39. Remmert P.
Substitutes
38. Arden E. 16. Benger M. 18. Bornschein L. 14. Consbruch J. 11. Eixler L. 9. Hottmann E. 1. Riess L. (G) 2. van der Sloot S. 7. Wekesser E.	17. Besuschkow M. 7. Bookjans J. 3. Christensen F. 20. Jessen N. 11. Kother D. 14. Noss C. 19. Safi R. 40. Schlicke B. 33. Stahl T. (G)
Coaches
Ende A.	Hirsch D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Muller A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, Remmert P. ⚽,
65', Schleusener F. 🟨,
66', Forster P. ↓, Hottmann E. ↑,
66', Risch S. ↓, Wekesser E. ↑,
66', Zimmermann M. ↓, van der Sloot S. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Schleusener F. ⚽,
68', Sussek P. ↓, Noss C. ↑,
71', Symalla J. ↓, Safi R. ↑,
76', Slimani A. ↓, Consbruch J. ↑,
84', Ens M. ↓, Jessen N. ↑,
85', Remmert P. ↓, Besuschkow M. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Hottmann E. ⚽,
89', Schleusener F. ↓, Bornschein L. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 3.

Fortuna is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Duisburg is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Duisburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

Duisburg: 23.09% Dusseldorf: 12.57%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Duisburg	7	6	0	1	19:7	12	18
10	Dusseldorf	7	3	1	3	6:7	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 3 Bundesliga
06.09.26	Fortuna Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:0 ✺
28.08.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - VfB Stuttgart II	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.08.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg	1:5 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
15.08.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hoffenheim II	0:2 ✺
07.08.26	Waldhof Mannheim - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TWLLL
- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
05.09.26	Jahn Regensburg - Duisburg	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Duisburg - Würzburger Kickers	3:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Duisburg - Elversberg	1:3 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
15.08.26	Verl - Duisburg	2:4 ✺
08.08.26	Duisburg - Meppen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.08.20	Duisburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:5
German 2 Bundesliga
11.03.18	Duisburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2
02.10.17	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Duisburg	3:1
29.04.16	Duisburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1
20.11.15	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Duisburg	1:1
06.05.12	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Duisburg	2:2

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