Match Info

3. Liga - Round 4

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Jahnstadion Regensburg (Regensburg)

Referee: Tanimoto R. (Jpn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11
Germany	BR Fernsehen, Magenta Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Jahn Regensburg		Duisburg

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.60	1.85	Watch
	3.50	3.60	1.95
	3.55	3.75	1.86	Watch
	3.70	3.75	2.00
	3.6	4.03	1.84	Watch
	3.80	3.75	1.85
	3.54	3.74	1.93	Watch
	3.60	3.55	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (3.3)	3.72 ↑ (3.65)	1.89 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jahn Regensburg
25.9%

Draw
25%

Duisburg
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

25.2%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

24.2%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jahn Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Jahn Regensburg - Duisburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hermann H. (G) 26. Bauer B. 4. Strauss F. 37. Wurm L. 7. Schonfelder O. 35. Hingerl S. 13. Majetschak E. 29. Fein A. 8. Philipp D. 27. Hermes L. 10. Boujellab N.	1. Braune M. (G) 5. Fleckstein T. 6. Bulic R. 4. Ens M. 29. Bitter J. 8. Casar A. 27. Coskun C. 11. Kother D. 10. Viet C. 37. Sussek P. 9. Lobinger L.
Substitutes
42. Dizdarevic A. 34. Hobsch P. 18. Jano Z. 44. Karbstein M. 31. Matzler L. 20. Posselt J. 6. Saller B. 23. Schmitt M. (G) 40. Seibold J.	17. Besuschkow M. 7. Bookjans J. 20. Jessen N. 14. Noss C. 39. Remmert P. 19. Safi R. 40. Schlicke B. 33. Stahl T. (G) 23. Symalla J.
Coaches
Hildmann S.	Hirsch D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Lobinger L. 🟥,
30', Sussek P. 🟨,
32', Bauer B. 🟨,
33', Strauss F. 🟨,
33', Coskun C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Sussek P. ↓, Symalla J. ↑,
46', Kother D. ↓, Remmert P. ↑,
54', Remmert P. 🟨,
56', 1 - 0, Hermes L. ⚽, Schonfelder O. (A),
60', Hingerl S. 🟨,
71', 1 - 1, Remmert P. ⚽, Symalla J. (A),
72', Majetschak E. ↓, Hobsch P. ↑,
73', Ens M. ↓, Jessen N. ↑,
75', Schonfelder O. ↓, Karbstein M. ↑,
77', Karbstein M. 🟨,
78', Casar A. 🟨,
79', Casar A. ↓, Besuschkow M. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Fleckstein T. ⚽,
82', Hingerl S. ↓, Matzler L. ↑,
82', Boujellab N. ↓, Jano Z. ↑,
85', Philipp D. ↓, Dizdarevic A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Regensburg won 2.

In recent matches, Regensburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Duisburg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Duisburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Duisburg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Regensburg won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Regensburg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Duisburg	8	7	0	1	22:9	13	21
13	Regensburg	8	2	2	4	18:17	1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Jahn Regensburg - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 27.92%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jahn Regensburg
German 3 Bundesliga
29.08.26	Hoffenheim II - Jahn Regensburg	5:1 ✺
16.08.26	Jahn Regensburg - Saarbrücken	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Viktoria Köln - Jahn Regensburg	2:5 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Jahn Regensburg - Ulm 1846	1:0 ✺
15.07.26	Jahn Regensburg - Vilzing	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWL
- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
29.08.26	Duisburg - Würzburger Kickers	3:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Duisburg - Elversberg	1:3 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
15.08.26	Verl - Duisburg	2:4 ✺
08.08.26	Duisburg - Meppen	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Duisburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
24.01.26	Duisburg - Jahn Regensburg	2:0
10.08.25	Jahn Regensburg - Duisburg	0:4
04.02.24	Duisburg - Jahn Regensburg	0:1
03.09.23	Jahn Regensburg - Duisburg	2:1
German 2 Bundesliga
09.03.19	Jahn Regensburg - Duisburg	1:1
29.09.18	Duisburg - Jahn Regensburg	1:3
29.04.18	Duisburg - Jahn Regensburg	4:1

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