Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 4

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf)

Referee: Burda M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
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Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
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Germany	Amazon Prime Video, RTL Nitro, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
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Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Fortuna Düsseldorf		Karlsruher

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.88	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.87
	2.2	3.55	2.88	Watch
	2.33	3.7	3.09
	3.16	2.35	3.11	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.75	Watch
	2.43	3.55	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.29)	3.41 ↓ (3.75)	2.91 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Düsseldorf
39.3%

Draw
28%

Karlsruher
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

25.3%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

26.9%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	10%	30%

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Karlsruher Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fortuna will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Karlsruher will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortuna (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kastenmeier F. (G) 4. Schmidt K. 12. Fridriksson V. 15. Oberdorf T. 25. Zimmermann M. 44. Egouli E. 8. El Azzouzi A. 23. Appelkamp S. 24. Muslija F. 13. Itten C. 21. Rossmann T.	1. Bernat C. (G) 2. Jung S. 20. Herold D. 22. Kobald C. 28. Franke M. 6. Rapp N. 10. Wanitzek M. 16. Muller A. 25. Egloff L. 9. Simic R. 24. Schleusener F.
Substitutes
14. Alexandropoulos S. 9. Celar Z. 30. de Wijs J. 6. Haag G. 11. Hettwer J. 5. Heyer M. 1. Lotka M. (G) 10. Rasmussen C. 22. Schmidt D.	4. Beifus M. 7. Burnic D. 11. Forster P. 13. Fukuda S. 35. Geller R. 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 34. Kritzer M. 36. Pinto Pedrosa R. 15. Scholl P.
Coaches
Thioune D.	Eichner C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Muslija F. 🟨,
36', Kobald C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Egouli E. ↓, Celar Z. ↑,
46', Zimmermann M. ↓, Alexandropoulos S. ↑,
73', Schleusener F. ↓, Forster P. ↑,
73', Simic R. ↓, Burnic D. ↑,
78', Fridriksson V. ↓, Heyer M. ↑,
81', Egloff L. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
81', Muller A. ↓, Beifus M. ↑,
84', Appelkamp S. ↓, Rasmussen C. ↑,
90+3', Bernat C. 🟨,
90+6', Herold D. 🟨,
90+7', Rossmann T. ↓, de Wijs J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 3.

Fortuna has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Karlsruher is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Fortuna has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Fortuna: Affo K. (Injury) Anhari H. (Injury) Iyoha E. (Calf Injury) Raimund L. (Injury) Schock F. (Tendon Injury) Suso S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Karlsruher: Ben Farhat L. (Broken Leg) Sihlaroglu E. (Knee Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:23. (average 1.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
23.08.25	Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.25	Schweinfurt - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:4 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
09.08.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hannover	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Fortuna Düsseldorf	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Alemannia Aachen - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLLW
- Karlsruher SC
German 2 Bundesliga
23.08.25	Karlsruher - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.25	Meuselwitz - Karlsruher	0:5 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
10.08.25	Hertha Berlin - Karlsruher	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Karlsruher - Preußen Münster	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Karlsruher - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
25.01.25	Karlsruher - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:3
10.08.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Karlsruher	0:0
17.02.24	Karlsruher - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:2
01.09.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Karlsruher	3:1
30.04.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Karlsruher	3:2
23.10.22	Karlsruher - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:2
03.04.22	Karlsruher - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:2

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