Match Info

Date: 10 September 2022, Saturday

Location: BBBank Wildpark (Karlsruhe)

Referee: Exner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovenia	SportKlub, Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Sports 2
World	beIN Sports Connect


	Karlsruher		Heidenheim

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.6	2.9	Watch
	2.25	3.5	3	Watch
	2.35	3.45	2.88
	2.3	3.55	2.9
	2.34	3.64	3.07
	2.3	3.4	2.88
	2.26	3.6	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.36)	3.53 ↓ (3.55)	2.94 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlsruher
41.1%

Draw
26.7%

Heidenheim
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26.3%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

25.7%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlsruher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	31.2%	18.7%

Karlsruher - Heidenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Karlsruher will win (votes: 16 - 50%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karlsruher: 32.7% – 67.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Relegation)).

Karlsruher has the most likely position - 5 (8.25%), has project points - 50, has currently - 10, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Heidenheim has the most likely position - 2 (10.75%), has project points - 55, has currently - 14, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of promoted (22%), has a small chance of win league (9%).

This event has quality 36, importance 42, match rating 39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Karlsruher won 2.

Karlsruher is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Heidenheim is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Heidenheim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Karlsruher won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Karlsruher won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlsruher SC
German 2 Bundesliga
03.09.22	Hamburger SV - Karlsruher	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Karlsruher - Hansa Rostock	2:0 ✺
20.08.22	Jahn Regensburg - Karlsruher	0:6 ✺
13.08.22	Karlsruher - Sandhausen	3:2 ✺
05.08.22	Greuther Fürth - Karlsruher	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWWWT
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
02.09.22	Heidenheim - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Darmstadt - Heidenheim	2:2 ✺
21.08.22	Heidenheim - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
12.08.22	Nürnberg - Heidenheim	0:3 ✺
06.08.22	Hamburger SV - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
15.05.22	Heidenheim - Karlsruher	2:0
12.12.21	Karlsruher - Heidenheim	3:2
23.05.21	Heidenheim - Karlsruher	1:2
23.01.21	Karlsruher - Heidenheim	1:1
07.03.20	Heidenheim - Karlsruher	3:1
28.09.19	Karlsruher - Heidenheim	1:1
16.04.17	Karlsruher - Heidenheim	0:1

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