Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA MITTELRHEIN - ROUND 15

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday


	Fortuna Köln II		Glesch-Paffendorf

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.75	3.25
	1.9	3.75	2.95
	2.05	4.02	2.98
	1.94	3.76	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.67)	3.82 ↓ (3.95)	3.08 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Köln II
46.9%

Draw
23.7%

Glesch-Paffendorf
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

22.6%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Köln II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortuna Köln II's form might have worsened.

Glesch-Paffendorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Glesch-Paffendorf's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Köln II than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortuna Köln II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glesch-Paffendorf than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Glesch-Paffendorf, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Fortuna Köln II is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Glesch-Paffendorf is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Glesch-Paffendorf could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fortuna Köln II will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fortuna Köln II won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna Köln II won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Köln II
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
27.11.22	Pesch - Fortuna Köln II	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.11.22	Fortuna Köln II - Borussia Lindenthal-Hohenlind	3:3 ✺
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
13.11.22	Bergisch Gladbach - Fortuna Köln II	2:0 ✺
05.11.22	Fortuna Köln II - Vichttal	0:3 ✺
30.10.22	Frechen - Fortuna Köln II	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TTLLT
- BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
27.11.22	Glesch-Paffendorf - Bergisch Gladbach	2:1 ✺
13.11.22	Vichttal - Glesch-Paffendorf	3:2 ✺
06.11.22	Glesch-Paffendorf - Frechen	2:2 ✺
30.10.22	Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler - Glesch-Paffendorf	0:2 ✺
23.10.22	Glesch-Paffendorf - Hennef 05	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
27.03.22	Fortuna Köln II - Glesch-Paffendorf	3:0
12.09.21	Glesch-Paffendorf - Fortuna Köln II	4:1
04.10.20	Glesch-Paffendorf - Fortuna Köln II	0:0

Fortuna Köln II - Glesch-Paffendorf: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide