Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA MITTELRHEIN - ROUND 14

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday


	Glesch-Paffendorf		Bergisch Gladbach

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.36
	6	4.5	1.35
	6.94	4.69	1.4
	5.95	4.5	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.35 ↑ (5.03)	4.55 ↑ (4.45)	1.38 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glesch-Paffendorf
14.3%

Draw
20%

Bergisch Gladbach
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

20.1%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

19.2%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glesch-Paffendorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Bergisch Gladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glesch-Paffendorf than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergisch Gladbach than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Glesch-Paffendorf is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bergisch Gladbach is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Glesch-Paffendorf could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bergisch Gladbach have a series of home games.

In this match Bergisch Gladbach is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Glesch-Paffendorf won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Glesch-Paffendorf won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
13.11.22	Vichttal - Glesch-Paffendorf	3:2 ✺
06.11.22	Glesch-Paffendorf - Frechen	2:2 ✺
30.10.22	Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler - Glesch-Paffendorf	0:2 ✺
23.10.22	Glesch-Paffendorf - Hennef 05	0:2 ✺
19.10.22	Eintracht Hohkeppel - Glesch-Paffendorf	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTWLL
- Bergisch Gladbach
Club Friendly
16.11.22	Bergisch Gladbach - Wermelskirchen	3:1 ✺
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
13.11.22	Bergisch Gladbach - Fortuna Köln II	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Bergisch Gladbach - Pesch	4:0 ✺
30.10.22	Vichttal - Bergisch Gladbach	4:1 ✺
23.10.22	Bergisch Gladbach - Frechen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
08.05.22	Bergisch Gladbach - Glesch-Paffendorf	6:0
24.10.21	Glesch-Paffendorf - Bergisch Gladbach	0:1

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