Match Info

Eredivisie Women - Round 3

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Sportpark Robonsbosweg (Alkmaar)

Referee: Blaak P. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+


	AZ Alkmaar		Ajax

	1	X	2
	4.96	4.59	1.53
	5.50	3.56	1.62	Watch
	5.21	4.33	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.22 ↑ (4.84)	4.16 ↓ (4.46)	1.54 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
17.7%

Draw
22.3%

Ajax
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

20.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

AZ Alkmaar - Ajax Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Booms N. (G) 4. Woons K. 23. Stoop M. 2. Caprino G. 5. Mol C. 20. van Bentum M. 8. de Vette M. 22. Thomas K. 18. Dessing S. 11. Kroese F. 10. van Lunteren D. (C)	1. van Eijk R. (G) 16. Noordman D. 6. van de Velde J. 3. Noordermeer D. 5. van Asten R. 8. Spitse S. (C) 10. Smits J. 20. Colin I. 11. Van Egmond B. 9. Tolhoek D. 19. van Koppen M.
Substitutes
3. De Ridder D. 7. Ellouzi S. 12. Eloualidi A. 15. Groot P. 9. Spaan F. 6. van Beijeren J. 31. Veen E. (G)	24. De Klonia D. 7. Derks R. 17. Dostmohamed I. 13. Nienhuis L. (G) 25. Touzani L. 22. van der Vliet D. (G) 12. van Hensbergen J. 18. van Oosten L. 27. van Schoonhoven N. 2. Visscher A.
Coaches
de Vogel W.	Anouk B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Stoop M. 🟨,
32', van Bentum M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', van Lunteren D. 🟨,
63', van Koppen M. ↓, Touzani L. ↑,
63', van Asten R. ↓, De Klonia D. ↑,
63', van Bentum M. ↓, Spaan F. ↑,
69', Smits J. ↓, van Schoonhoven N. ↑,
76', Tolhoek D. ↓, Dostmohamed I. ↑,
77', Kroese F. ↓, Ellouzi S. ↑,
78', de Vette M. ↓, van Beijeren J. ↑,
85', Thomas K. ↓, Eloualidi A. ↑,

Preview

Ajax is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ajax is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, AZ Alkmaar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 1:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, AZ Alkmaar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
21.09.25	Excelsior - AZ Alkmaar	1:3 ✺
07.09.25	AZ Alkmaar - Telstar	N/A ✺
Club Friendly Women
08.08.25	ADO Den Haag - AZ Alkmaar	1:5 ✺
11.07.25	Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar	3:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
17.05.25	Twente - AZ Alkmaar	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 W?WTL
- AFC Ajax Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
21.09.25	Feyenoord - Ajax	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
18.09.25	Sturm Graz - Ajax	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Ajax - Sturm Graz	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
06.09.25	Ajax - ADO Den Haag	6:0 ✺
Club Friendly Women
30.08.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Ajax	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie Women
19.01.25	Ajax - AZ Alkmaar	4:2
06.10.24	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	1:2
25.04.24	Ajax - AZ Alkmaar	3:0
26.11.23	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	1:2

AZ Alkmaar - Ajax: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide