Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 11

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday


	Forward		Vänersborgs IF

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.5
	2.35	3.6	2.6
	2.31	3.45	2.58
	2.31	3.43	2.58
	2.3	3.4	2.5
	2.33	3.45	2.58
	2.35	3.6	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.65)	3.49 ↓ (4)	2.56 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forward
38.9%

Draw
25.9%

Vänersborgs IF
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

22.7%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

22.1%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forward has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Vänersborgs IF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vänersborgs IF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forward that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vänersborgs IF than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vänersborgs IF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Forward - Vänersborgs IF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Abdi Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
66', 1 - 1, Asp H. ⚽,
88', 1 - 2, Egsonius A. ⚽,
89', 2 - 2, Danielsson S. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 2, Asp H. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Forward could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Forward
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
02.06.24	Säffle - Forward	3:3 ✺
25.05.24	Forward - Kongahälla	1:3 ✺
18.05.24	Gauthiod - Forward	1:1 ✺
12.05.24	Forward - Herrestads	0:1 ✺
04.05.24	Kumla - Forward	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLTLT
- Vänersborgs IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
01.06.24	Lidkoping - Vänersborgs IF	1:0 ✺
24.05.24	Vänersborgs IF - Säffle	2:1 ✺
17.05.24	Kongahälla - Vänersborgs IF	3:0 ✺
12.05.24	Vänersborgs IF - Gauthiod	0:3 ✺
03.05.24	Herrestads - Vänersborgs IF	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLL

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