Match Info

League One - Round 8

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center (Foshan)


	Foshan Nanshi		Suzhou Dongwu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.92	2.98	3.95	Watch
	1.88	3.13	4.43
	1.9	3.12	4.35	Watch
	1.85	3	4
	1.87	3.02	4.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.19)	3.05 ↑ (2.9)	4.2 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Foshan Nanshi
48.4%

Draw
29.9%

Suzhou Dongwu
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

32.1%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

31.4%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foshan Nanshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Foshan Nanshi's performance.

Suzhou Dongwu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Foshan Nanshi - Suzhou Dongwu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Shi Xiaton (G) 30. Huang Chuqi 12. Liu Zongyuan 19. Liu H. 15. Benavides N. 8. Gabriel Bispo 13. Zhang Xingbo (C) 45. Zhou Dadi 10. Zhong Ziqin 44. Antwi R. 11. Ndiaye M.	1. Liu Yu (G) 18. Tai Jianfeng 33. Liu Jiqiang 45. Mijit M. 8. Gao D. 16. Zhao S. 6. Estrela (C) 36. Yuan J. 21. Song Pan 9. Ali M. 20. Chen Rong
Substitutes
9. Chang Feiya 6. Chen Guokang 1. Gao Yuqin (G) 18. Han Kunda 5. Jin Liangkuan 39. Li Bowen 16. Li Ruiyue 7. Mu Zihan 2. Qian Yumiao 23. Wen Junjie 31. Yao Hui 28. Yin B.	42. Arafat Ghenifa 37. Askhan (G) 30. He Haohan 15. Jin Qiang 27. Lei Zhibo (G) 2. Song Bowei 26. Wang B. 17. Wang Jiancong 5. Wang Yulong 19. Wu Junjie 24. Zhang Jiansheng 10. Zhang Lingfeng
Coaches
Zhang Chiming	Yu Yuanwei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Song Pan ↓, Arafat Ghenifa ↑,
35', Arafat Ghenifa 🟨,
45+3', Zhou Dadi 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Zhong Ziqin ↓, Yin B. ↑,
48', Liu Jiqiang 🟨,
74', Zhou Dadi ↓, Han Kunda ↑,
75', Huang Chuqi ↓, Qian Yumiao ↑,
76', Yuan J. ↓, Wang Jiancong ↑,
76', Tai Jianfeng ↓, Zhang Jiansheng ↑,
76', Chen Rong ↓, Wu Junjie ↑,
81', Benavides N. ↓, Chang Feiya ↑,
86', Ali M. ↓, Wang B. ↑,
86', Liu Zongyuan ↓, Wen Junjie ↑,
89', 0 - 1, Wang B. ⚽, Mijit M. (A),
90+8', 1 - 1, Gabriel Bispo ⚽, Ndiaye M. (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

In recent matches, Foshan Nanshi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Suzhou Dongwu has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Suzhou Dongwu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Foshan Nanshi is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Foshan Nanshi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Foshan Nanshi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Suzhou Dongwu	25	7	9	9	30:35	-5	27
16	Foshan Nanshi	25	3	7	15	25:49	-24	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foshan Nanshi
Chinese Jia League
02.05.26	Dalian Kun City - Foshan Nanshi	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Foshan Nanshi	0:3 ✺
18.04.26	Foshan Nanshi - Changchun Yatai	1:3 ✺
12.04.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Foshan Nanshi	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Foshan Nanshi - Meizhou Hakka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 TWLWL
- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
03.05.26	Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Dingnan United	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangxi Hengchen	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Nantong Zhiyun - Suzhou Dongwu	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Changchun Yatai - Suzhou Dongwu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
19.07.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Foshan Nanshi	0:1
30.03.25	Foshan Nanshi - Suzhou Dongwu	0:2
17.08.24	Foshan Nanshi - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1
31.03.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Foshan Nanshi	3:0

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