Match Info

League One - Round 7

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Wutaishan Stadium (Nanjing)


	Nanjing City		Suzhou Dongwu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3	3.55	Watch
	2.01	3.11	4.25
	2.03	3.12	3.9	Watch
	1.95	2.9	3.75
	1.98	3.22	3.94	Watch
	1.71	3.25	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.71)	3.1 ↓ (3.25)	3.97 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nanjing City
47.2%

Draw
29.6%

Suzhou Dongwu
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

27.5%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

25.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nanjing City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Suzhou Dongwu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nanjing City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Yang Chao (G) 22. Meng Zhen 4. Zhao Chengle 15. Tayir Shewketjan 20. Liu Le 10. Ngom Mbekeli J. 11. Hu Rentian 18. Dong Honglin (C) 39. Yu Menghui 23. Hu Jinghang 9. Ze Vitor	1. Liu Yu (G) 18. Tai Jianfeng 33. Liu Jiqiang 45. Mijit M. 8. Gao D. 17. Wang Jiancong 6. Estrela (C) 16. Zhao S. 20. Chen Rong 19. Wu Junjie 9. Ali M.
Substitutes
17. An Bang 24. Du Junpeng 29. Fu Shang 7. Robertinho 2. Wang Xijie 5. Wong W. 33. Xiang Rongjun 21. Xi Anjie (G) 8. Yang Dejiang 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 6. Zhou Y. 31. Zhu Qiwen	37. Askhan (G) 29. Chen Ao 11. Gong Yunyang 30. He Haohan 15. Jin Qiang 2. Song Bowei 21. Song Pan 26. Wang B. 5. Wang Yulong 36. Yuan J. 24. Zhang Jiansheng 10. Zhang Lingfeng
Coaches
Zhang X.	Yu Yuanwei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Dong Honglin ↓, Robertinho ↑,
19', Gao D. 🟨,
39', Liu Jiqiang 🟨,
43', Yu Menghui 🟨,
45', Tai Jianfeng 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Ze Vitor ⚽, Yu Menghui (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Liu Le ↓, Xiang Rongjun ↑,
53', Robertinho 🟨,
57', Hu Rentian ↓, Zhu Qiwen ↑,
62', Wang Jiancong ↓, He Haohan ↑,
62', Wu Junjie ↓, Song Pan ↑,
65', Yu Menghui ↓, An Bang ↑,
65', Hu Jinghang ↓, Zhai Zhaoyu ↑,
73', Chen Rong ↓, Zhang Lingfeng ↑,
73', Tai Jianfeng ↓, Zhang Jiansheng ↑,
83', Ali M. ↓, Wang B. ↑,
84', Zhu Qiwen 🟨,
84', Ngom Mbekeli J. 🟨,
90+5', Zhai Zhaoyu 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 12 and 14)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nanjing City won 2.

Nanjing City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Suzhou Dongwu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nanjing City might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nanjing City won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nanjing City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Suzhou Dongwu	25	7	9	9	30:35	-5	27
15	Nanjing City	25	5	6	14	21:37	-16	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
25.04.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Nanjing City	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Nanjing City - Shenzhen Juniors	1:3 ✺
12.04.26	Dingnan United - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Nantong Zhiyun - Nanjing City	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Nanjing City - Yanbian Longding	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTLT
- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
25.04.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Dingnan United	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangxi Hengchen	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Nantong Zhiyun - Suzhou Dongwu	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Changchun Yatai - Suzhou Dongwu	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Meizhou Hakka - Suzhou Dongwu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
27.09.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Nanjing City	1:0
16.05.25	Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu	2:1
08.09.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Nanjing City	2:1
21.04.24	Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu	2:2
20.08.23	Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu	2:1
10.05.23	Suzhou Dongwu - Nanjing City	1:1
20.09.22	Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu	1:2

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