Match Info

Date: 12 December 2021, Sunday


	Fossano		Novara

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.55
	4.6	3.65	1.57
	4.72	3.29	1.64
	5.5	3.75	1.5
	4.65	3.82	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.84 ↓ (5.13)	3.65 ↑ (3.48)	1.58 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fossano
18.5%

Draw
24.6%

Novara
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.9%

24.9%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

19.7%

73.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fossano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fossano than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fossano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Novara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fossano - Novara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Fossano is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Novara in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Novara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Novara is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fossano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
04.12.21	Fossano - Lavagnese	4:1 ✺
28.11.21	Gozzano - Fossano	4:0 ✺
20.11.21	Saluzzo - Fossano	2:0 ✺
14.11.21	Fossano - Derthona	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
10.11.21	Derthona - Fossano	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLLWL
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
08.12.21	Novara - Lavagnese	1:0 ✺
05.12.21	PDHAE - Novara	2:2 ✺
28.11.21	Novara - Saluzzo	4:0 ✺
21.11.21	Caronnese - Novara	1:2 ✺
14.11.21	Novara - Casale	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTWWW

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