Match Info

3. MSFL - Round 5

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Rudolfa Labaje (Trinec)


	Fotbal Třinec		Karviná B

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.5	6.75
	1.19	6.3	8.8
	1.22	7.03	11.34
	1.23	5.9	8.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.31)	6.18 ↑ (5.5)	8.86 ↑ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fotbal Třinec
74.8%

Draw
14.9%

Karviná B
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

16.4%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

15.7%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fotbal Třinec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fotbal Třinec's performance.

Karviná B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fotbal Třinec than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karviná B than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Fotbal Třinec - Karviná B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Murin R. (G) 9. Bolf J. 13. Brak V. 19. Charles S. 27. Dadak L. 25. Dedic R. (C) 23. Krakovcik M. 21. Machuca O. 24. Omasta T. 7. Slamena P. 15. Vlachovsky M.	1. Schovanec O. (G) 10. Baumgartner D. 17. Brzoska P. (C) 8. Cadu 22. Drobek O. 32. Duda L. 5. Egwu O. 14. Lawali Y. 12. Lidah H. 9. Motycka D. 30. Nwachukwu P.
Substitutes
22. Adamuska J. (G) 16. Agbo C. 26. Cienciala L. 20. Kowalczyk T. 11. Malek M. 6. Nguyen A. 12. Zinhasovic N.	18. Fukala R. 2. Galik J. 23. Graf D. 15. Korenek V. 25. Simecek S. (G) 19. Strnadel O. 11. Zieba M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Egwu O. ↓, Galik J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Slamena P. ↓, Cienciala L. ↑,
46', Machuca O. ↓, Agbo C. ↑,
46', Omasta T. ↓, Zinhasovic N. ↑,
54', Vlachovsky M. 🟨,
64', 1 - 0, Brak V. ⚽,
65', Duda L. ↓, Graf D. ↑,
65', Brzoska P. ↓, Strnadel O. ↑,
65', Baumgartner D. ↓, Fukala R. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Charles S. ⚽,
78', Charles S. ↓, Malek M. ↑,
82', Motycka D. ↓, Zieba M. ↑,
85', Dedic R. ↓, Nguyen A. ↑,
87', Zinhasovic N. 🟨,

Preview

Třinec is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Karviná B has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Třinec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Třinec is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Třinec will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Třinec won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 3.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Třinec won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Fotbal Třinec - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 69.06%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fotbal Třinec
Czech Cup
26.08.25	Fotbal Třinec - Prostějov	3:2 penalties ✺
Czech MSFL
22.08.25	Hlučín - Fotbal Třinec	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Fotbal Třinec - Zlín B	6:2 ✺
Czech Cup
13.08.25	Vsetín - Fotbal Třinec	0:4 ✺
Czech MSFL
09.08.25	Start Brno - Fotbal Třinec	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWWT
- Karviná B
Czech MSFL
24.08.25	Karviná B - Blansko	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Vitkovice - Karviná B	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Karviná B - Frýdek-Místek	0:3 ✺
03.08.25	Uničov - Karviná B	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.25	Karviná B - Unie Hlubina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Czech MSFL
06.04.25	Karviná B - Fotbal Třinec	2:2
30.08.24	Fotbal Třinec - Karviná B	5:1
16.03.24	Fotbal Třinec - Karviná B	2:1
13.08.23	Karviná B - Fotbal Třinec	1:4

Upcoming Matches