Match Info

3. MSFL - Round 13

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Rudolfa Labaje (Trinec)


	Fotbal Třinec		Vitkovice

	1	X	2
	1.19	5.9	9.6
	1.22	5.65	9.75
	1.2	6	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.31)	5.85 ↑ (5.5)	9.45 ↑ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fotbal Třinec
75%

Draw
15.4%

Vitkovice
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

16.4%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

15.9%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fotbal Třinec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fotbal Třinec's performance.

Vitkovice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fotbal Třinec than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitkovice than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Fotbal Třinec - Vitkovice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Murin R. (G) 16. Agbo C. 9. Bolf J. 13. Brak V. 19. Charles S. 25. Dedic R. (C) 23. Krakovcik M. 11. Malek M. 24. Omasta T. 10. Samiec M. 12. Zinhasovic N.	1. Keller T. (G) 10. Antonin A. 19. Dvoracek L. 27. Jez S. 12. Jonathan J. 15. Michlik K. 13. Nieslanik D. 2. Ouly M. 6. Pilar M. 7. Richtar M. (C) 18. Svrcek F.
Substitutes
22. Adamuska J. (G) 26. Cienciala L. 27. Dadak L. 20. Kowalczyk T. 6. Nguyen A. 7. Slamena P. 15. Vlachovsky M.	33. Enebi M. 14. Nieslanik T. 17. Okebugwu J. 5. Sindler M. 3. Tamajka J. 16. Tkacik J. 30. Vavrik R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Agbo C. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Agbo C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Pilar M. 🟨,
56', 🟨,
57', Svrcek F. ↓, Tamajka J. ↑,
62', Malek M. ↓, Nguyen A. ↑,
63', Richtar M. ↓, Okebugwu J. ↑,
63', Antonin A. ↓, Enebi M. ↑,
72', Charles S. ↓, Vlachovsky M. ↑,
72', Ouly M. ↓, Nieslanik T. ↑,
79', Agbo C. ↓, Slamena P. ↑,
84', Krakovcik M. 🟨,
86', 3 - 0, Nguyen A. ⚽,
90+3', Samiec M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ ChNL and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Třinec won 2.

Třinec is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Vitkovice has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Třinec is the clear favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Třinec won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Třinec won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.9:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Fotbal Třinec - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 69.06%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fotbal Třinec
Czech MSFL
18.10.25	Frýdek-Místek - Fotbal Třinec	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Fotbal Třinec - Uničov	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Polanka nad Odrou - Fotbal Třinec	1:2 ✺
Czech Cup
01.10.25	Fotbal Třinec - Hradec Králové	3:4 ET ✺
Czech MSFL
27.09.25	Fotbal Třinec - Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWWLW
- FK Vitkovice
Czech MSFL
18.10.25	Vitkovice - Blansko	3:1 ✺
15.10.25	Vitkovice - Sigma Olomouc B	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Frýdek-Místek - Vitkovice	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Vitkovice - Uničov	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Polanka nad Odrou - Vitkovice	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Cup
09.08.23	Vitkovice - Fotbal Třinec	0:4
Club Friendly
03.12.22	Fotbal Třinec - Vitkovice	1:1
Czech Cup
08.09.21	Vitkovice - Fotbal Třinec	0:3
Czech Division 2
02.07.20	Vitkovice - Fotbal Třinec	5:2
Club Friendly
22.02.20	Vitkovice - Fotbal Třinec	5:0
Czech Division 2
05.10.19	Fotbal Třinec - Vitkovice	3:2
06.04.19	Fotbal Třinec - Vitkovice	1:1

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