Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 17 - ROUND 25

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Fraga		Illueca

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	4.5
	1.66	3.5	4.75
	1.66	3.31	4.74
	1.67	3.31	4.74
	1.67	3.45	4.82
	1.63	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.75)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)	4.76 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fraga
54.5%

Draw
26.5%

Illueca
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

26.1%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fraga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Illueca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fraga than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illueca than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, San Agustin C. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, San Agustin C. ⚽,
40', 3 - 0, Quibus A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Fraga is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fraga won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Fraga won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Fraga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
24.03.24	Utrillas - Fraga	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Ejea - Fraga	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Fraga - Cariñena	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Cuarte - Fraga	2:2 ✺
18.02.24	Fraga - Binéfar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWTT
- CF Illueca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
24.03.24	Illueca - Belchite	1:2 ✺
10.03.24	Illueca - Ebro	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Tamarite - Illueca	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Illueca - Almudévar	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Atlético Monzón - Illueca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
28.10.23	Illueca - Fraga	1:2
17.02.21	Illueca - Fraga	1:0
17.11.19	Fraga - Illueca	0:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
12.10.17	Fraga - Illueca	1:1

Fraga - Illueca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide