Match Info
Copa Paulista - Round 6Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Francana |
|
Comercial SP |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.4 |
3 |
2.85 |
|
 |
2.52 |
2.68 |
2.98 |
|
 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
3.04 |
|
 |
2.52 |
2.77 |
2.99 |
 Watch |
 |
2.51 |
2.74 |
2.98 |
|
 |
2.47 |
3.1 |
2.95 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.47) |
2.83 ↓
(3.1) |
2.97 ↑
(2.95) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Francana
36.7% | Draw
32.4% | Comercial SP
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Francana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francana than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+0.6%)Francana - Comercial SP Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Marquinhos Bento ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Francana has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).Comercial SP is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Francana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Francana won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).Including home match between the teams, Francana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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