The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
União São João 57.6%
Draw 26.5%
Francana 16%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.1%
27.2%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.1%
25.7%
21.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
União São João has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in União São João's performance.
Francana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for União São João than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francana than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
União São João - Francana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Ruan Marcos ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 2 - 0, Ruan Marcos ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, Vitor G. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
União São João has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Francana has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
União São João may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, União São João is seen as the favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, União São João won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, União São João won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Watch
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