Match Info

Copa Paulista - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Major José Levy Sobrinho (Limeira)


	Internacional de Limeira		Comercial SP

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.5
	1.97	3.02	3.55
	2.07	2.94	3.77	Watch
	2.02	3.08	3.58	Watch
	2.35	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.35)	3.05 ↓ (3.1)	3.5 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional de Limeira
43.9%

Draw
30%

Comercial SP
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional de Limeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional de Limeira than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+3%)

Internacional de Limeira - Comercial SP Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter de Limeira (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Inter de Limeira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Inter de Limeira won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Inter de Limeira won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional de Limeira
Brazilian Serie D
23.08.25	Internacional de Limeira - Rio Branco AC ES	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Internacional de Limeira	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
16.08.25	Internacional de Limeira - Itapirense	2:3 ✺
11.08.25	Comercial SP - Internacional de Limeira	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
09.08.25	Internacional de Limeira - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLTW
- Comercial de Ribeirão Preto
Brazilian Copa Paulista
16.08.25	União São João - Comercial SP	1:0 ✺
11.08.25	Comercial SP - Internacional de Limeira	2:2 ✺
06.08.25	Botafogo SP B - Comercial SP	0:2 ✺
26.07.25	Comercial SP - Itapirense	4:2 ✺
19.07.25	Francana - Comercial SP	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
11.08.25	Comercial SP - Internacional de Limeira	2:2
08.07.25	Internacional de Limeira - Comercial SP	2:2

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