Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 14

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Francana		Marília

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.85	2.3
	3.1	2.85	2.36
	3.07	2.82	2.35
	3.09	2.89	2.39	Watch
	3.11	2.88	2.33
	3.1	2.85	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.11)	2.86 ↓ (3.07)	2.35 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francana
29.6%

Draw
31.8%

Marília
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

29.7%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

28.4%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Marília has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francana than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marília than the current prediction. (+4%)

Francana - Marília Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Miguel Baggio ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Marília is Qualified for Paulista A3 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Two teams are playing changeable.

Marília could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Marília will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Francana
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
05.03.25	Desportivo Brasil - Francana	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	União Suzano - Francana	3:0 ✺
26.02.25	Francana - União São João	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Comercial SP - Francana	1:1 ✺
19.02.25	Francana - XV de Jaú	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWTL
- Marília AC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
05.03.25	Marília - Rio Preto	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Sertãozinho - Marília	0:0 ✺
26.02.25	Marília - Catanduva	3:1 ✺
23.02.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Marília	3:1 ✺
19.02.25	União Suzano - Marília	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTWLL

Francana - Marília: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide