Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 13

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday


	Francavilla		Cavese

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.3	1.72
	4.32	3.38	1.71
	4.44	3.4	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (3.37)	3.36 ↑ (3.01)	1.73 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francavilla
20.9%

Draw
26.9%

Cavese
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

28.9%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

26.4%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Cavese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cavese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Francavilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cavese have a series of home games.

Cavese will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Francavilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Francavilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Francavilla
Italian Serie D - Group H
20.11.22	Bitonto - Francavilla	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Francavilla - Molfetta	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Gladiator - Francavilla	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Francavilla - Città di Fasano	2:0 ✺
23.10.22	Nardo - Francavilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTWL
- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group H
20.11.22	Cavese - Gravina	0:1 ✺
13.11.22	Lavello - Cavese	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Cavese - Bitonto	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
02.11.22	Cavese - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
30.10.22	Cavese - Molfetta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
01.11.17	Francavilla - Cavese	0:2

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