Match Info
Serie D - Group H - Round 28Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday
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Nardo |
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Francavilla |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.82 |
3 |
4.1 |
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1.68 |
3.2 |
4.85 |
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1.58 |
3.74 |
4.82 |
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1.79 |
3.3 |
4.33 |
Watch |
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1.6 |
3.4 |
4.8 |
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1.77 |
3.44 |
4.68 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↓ (1.85) |
3.35 (3.35) |
4.6 ↑ (3.91) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nardo 53.2% | Draw 27.1% | Francavilla 19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (+3.1%)Nardo - Francavilla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 82', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nardo won 2.Nardo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Francavilla is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). In this match, Nardo is a strong favorite.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nardo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Nardo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 14 | A.C.D. Nardo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
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| 17 | Francavilla | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group H | | | 09.11.25 | Francavilla - Nardo | 1:1 | | 02.02.25 | Francavilla - Nardo | 1:2 | | 06.10.24 | Nardo - Francavilla | 0:0 | | 26.02.23 | Francavilla - Nardo | 2:1 | | 23.10.22 | Nardo - Francavilla | 2:1 | | 03.04.22 | Francavilla - Nardo | 3:2 | | 21.11.21 | Nardo - Francavilla | 2:3 |
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