Match Info

World Championship - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, FL)

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, Azam Sports 4, New World Sport 1, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport PSL, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 2, TV Klan
Angola	TPA 2, Z Sports 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, TV Publica
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 6, beIN Sports MENA Max 6, beIN Sports MENA Max 6
Australia	SBS On Demand
Austria	Servus TV
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Belarus	Sport TV
Belgium	RTBF Tipik, VRT 1
Benin	ORTB
Bolivia	Entel Gol 56, ENTEL TV, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Caze TV, SBT, SporTV, TV Globo
Bulgaria	BNT 1, BNT 3
Cameroon	Canal 2 International, CRTV Sports
Canada	fubo Sports Network, RDS 2, RDS App, TSN 1, TSN 3, TSN 4, TSN+
Chad	Tele Tchad
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI, RTI 3
Croatia	HRT 2, HRTi
Czech-republic	CT sport, CT sport Plus, Nova Action, Oneplay
Denmark	DR 1, DR TV, TV2 Play
Dr-congo	RTNC
Ecuador	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
Estonia	ETV 1, ETV+, Go3 Extra Sports, TV3
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic
Faroe-islands	KVF
Finland	MTV 3, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, M6
Gabon	Groupe Gabon Televisions
Gambia	GRTS Gambia
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Magenta Sport
Ghana	GTV, GTV Sports Plus
Greece	ERT 2
Guinea	RTG
Hong-kong	Now Player
Hungary	M4 Sport
Iceland	RUV
India	ZEE5
Ireland	RTE 2, RTE Player
Israel	Kan 11, Sport 1
Italy	DAZN Italia, RAI 1
Japan	DAZN Japan, NHK BS1
Kazakhstan	Qazaqstan TV, Qazsport
Kenya	KBC Channel 1
Kosovo	Klan Kosova
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Latvia	TV6
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports, TV3
Madagascar	Malagasy TV
Malaysia	unifi playTV, Unifi TV
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Mexico	ViX Premium
Moldova	We Sport
Montenegro	TVCG 1
Mozambique	TV Miramar
Netherlands	NPO 1, NPO Start
New-zealand	TVNZ+
Niger	ORTN, Tele Sahel
Nigeria	NTA Sports
Norway	NRK 1, NRK TV
Pakistan	PTV Sports, Tapmad
Panama	Tigo Sports
Paraguay	Canal Trece, GEN
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	Cignal Play, Pilipinas Live, TapGO TV
Poland	TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV1, Sport TV5
Republic-of-the-congo	Tele Congo
Romania	AntenaPLAY, Antena
Russia	Match TV
Rwanda	Rwanda TV, Rwanda TV
Senegal	RTS 1, RTS 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, RTS 1
Singapore	Singtel TV GO
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport, JOJ, STVR Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1, Slovenia TV2
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	JTBC
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	SVT 1, SVT Play
Switzerland	M6, M6, Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play
Tanzania	ZBC Tanzania
Togo	TVT
Turkey	TRT 1
Turkmenistan	Turkmenistan Sport
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC RED Button, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport
Uruguay	AUFTV, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 310
Usa	AFN Sports, FOX One, NBC Universo, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SportsEngine Play, Telemundo
Uzbekistan	Futbol TV, Zor TV
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 1
Vietnam	TV 360, VTV Go
Zambia	Sun Sports, ZNBC 1


	France		England

	1	X	2
	1.70	4.20	4.33
	1.71	4.10	4.33
	1.72	4.20	4.30
	1.75	4.21	4.69
	1.76	4.26	4.36	Watch
	1.70	4.20	4.60
	1.74	4.31	4.44
	1.72	4.10	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.15)	4.2 ↑ (3.48)	4.43 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

France
55.5%

Draw
22.8%

England
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

27.3%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

27.7%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

France has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in France's performance.

England has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and England might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for France than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with France that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for England than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that England could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.4%	7.2%	11.3%

France - England Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. France (votes: 10 - 66.7%). England (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (2.15) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

AH +0.25 - England (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - England (2.11) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0, 1st Half - England (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - England (3.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.45) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

TQ, OT - France (1.40) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (4.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: France will win (77 of 95 users predict this - 81.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.17% – 88.93%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. France (votes: 13 - 54.2%). England (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maignan M. (G) AC Milan 2. Gusto M. Chelsea 15. Konate I. Real Madrid 26. Lacroix M. Crystal Palace 19. Hernandez T. Al Hilal 18. Zaire-Emery W. PSG 14. Rabiot A. AC Milan 11. Olise M. Bayern Munich 24. Cherki R. Manchester City 20. Doue D. PSG 10. Mbappe K. (C) Real Madrid	13. Henderson D. (G) Crystal Palace 26. Quansah J. Bayer Leverkusen 2. Konsa E. Aston Villa 6. Guehi M. Manchester City 25. Spence D. Tottenham 4. Rice D. (C) Arsenal 7. Saka B. Arsenal 17. Rogers M. Aston Villa 21. Eze E. Arsenal 11. Rashford M. Manchester United 22. Toney I. Al Ahli SC
Substitutes
25. Akliouche M. Monaco 12. Barcola B. PSG 7. Dembele O. PSG 3. Digne L. Aston Villa 21. Hernandez L. PSG 13. Kante N. Fenerbahce 6. Kone M. AS Roma 5. Kounde J. Barcelona 22. Mateta J. Crystal Palace 23. Risser R. (G) Lens 17. Saliba W. Arsenal 1. Samba B. (G) Rennes 8. Tchouameni A. Real Madrid 9. Thuram M. Inter 4. Upamecano D. Bayern Munich	8. Anderson E. Manchester City 10. Bellingham J. Real Madrid 15. Burn D. Newcastle Utd 12. Chalobah T. Chelsea 18. Gordon A. Barcelona 14. Henderson J. Brentford 24. James R. Chelsea 9. Kane H. Bayern Munich 20. Madueke N. Arsenal 3. O'Reilly N. Manchester City 1. Pickford J. (G) Everton 5. Stones J. 23. Trafford J. (G) Manchester City 19. Watkins O. Aston Villa
Coaches
Deschamps D.	Tuchel T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
3', 0 - 1, Rice D. ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, Konsa E. ⚽, Rice D. (A),
37', 0 - 3, Saka B. ⚽, Rashford M. (A),
45+1', 0 - 4, Saka B. ⚽, Eze E. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 2)
46', Cherki R. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
46', Doue D. ↓, Barcola B. ↑,
46', Hernandez T. ↓, Digne L. ↑,
46', Konate I. ↓, Upamecano D. ↑,
46', Rashford M. ↓, Watkins O. ↑,
48', 1 - 4, Mbappe K. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
54', 2 - 4, Barcola B. ⚽, Mbappe K. (A),
66', 3 - 4, Mbappe K. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
79', Toney I. ↓, Anderson E. ↑,
79', Eze E. ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
83', Quansah J. ↓, James R. ↑,
87', 3 - 5, Saka B. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Gusto M. ↓, Kounde J. ↑,
90+3', Guehi M. ↓, Chalobah T. ↑,
90+6', 4 - 5, Dembele O. ⚽, Upamecano D. (A),
90+8', 4 - 6, Bellingham J. ⚽,

Preview

France is ranked FIFA: 3. England is ranked FIFA: 4.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, France won 3.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

France may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, France is the team to beat.

There will not play in France: Saliba W. (Back Injury) Samba B. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in England: Henderson J. (Wrist Injury) Livramento V. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in England: James R. (Muscle Injury) Stones J. (Head Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, France won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- France
FIFA World Cup
14.07.26	France - Spain	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	France - Morocco	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Paraguay - France	0:1 ✺
30.06.26	France - Sweden	3:0 ✺
26.06.26	Norway - France	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWW
- England
FIFA World Cup
15.07.26	England - Argentina	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Norway - England	1:2 ET ✺
05.07.26	Mexico - England	2:3 ✺
01.07.26	England - D.R. Congo	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Panama - England	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
10.12.22	England - France	1:2
Friendly
13.06.17	France - England	3:2
17.11.15	England - France	2:0
Euro 2012 *
11.06.12	France - England	N/A

France - England: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide