Match Info

World Championship - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	01:30	Ariana
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport PSL, ZAP
Albania	23:00	Klani IM, SuperSport 2, TV Klan
Andorra	23:00	beIN Sports 1
Angola	22:00	Z Sports 1
Argentina	18:00	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Flow Eventos, TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Armenia	01:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 6, beIN Sports MENA Max 6
Australia	07:00	SBS, SBS On Demand
Austria	23:00	ORF On, Servus TV
Azerbaijan	01:00	Ictimai TV
Bangladesh	03:00	Toffee Live, T Sports
Belarus	00:00	Sport TV
Belgium	23:00	BNT News App, RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF Tipik, Sporza, Sporza, VRT 1
Bolivia	17:00	Entel Gol 56, ENTEL TV, Red Uno, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, Unitel
Bosnia And Herzegovina	23:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	18:00	Caze TV, Disney+
Bulgaria	00:00	BNT 1, BNT 3
Canada	17:00	RDS App, RDS, TSN 1, TSN 3, TSN 4, TSN 5, TSN+
Chile	17:00	DirecTV Sports
China	05:00	Migu
Colombia	16:00	Caracol TV, Ditu, RCN Television
Croatia	23:00	HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	17:00	Tele Rebelde
Czech Republic	23:00	Nova Action, Oneplay
Denmark	23:00	TV2, TV2 Play
Dr Congo	—	RTNC
Ecuador	16:00	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
El Salvador	15:00	Canal 4, TCS GO, Tigo Sports
Estonia	00:00	Go3 Extra Sports, TV3, TV3 Play
Faroe Islands	22:00	Televarp
Fiji	09:00	FBC Sports
Finland	00:00	YLE Areena, YLE TV2
France	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, M6, Molotov TV, New World TV
Georgia	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	23:00	Magenta Sport
Greece	00:00	ERT 2
Guatemala	15:00	Tigo Sports
Guinea	21:00	RTG
Hong Kong	05:00	Now Player
Hungary	23:00	M4 Sport
Iceland	21:00	RUV 2
India	02:30	ZEE5
Iran	00:30	Persiana Sports
Ireland	22:00	RTE 2, RTE Player
Israel	00:00	Kan 11, Sport 1
Italy	23:00	DAZN Italia, RAI 1, RaiPlay
Japan	06:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	03:00	Qazsport
Kenya	00:00	Gotv
Kosovo	23:00	Arena Premium 1, Klan Kosova
Kyrgyzstan	03:00	KTRK Sports
Lithuania	00:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	05:00	TV Okey, unifi playTV, Unifi TV
Maldives	02:00	ICE Xtra, Medianet, TVM, Yes
Malta	23:00	TVM+, TVM Sport+
Mexico	15:00	FOX+, FOX Sports, VIX, ViX Premium
Montenegro	23:00	TVCG 1
Myanmar	03:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	23:00	NPO 1, NPO Start, Ziggo Go
New Zealand	09:00	TVNZ+
Nicaragua	15:00	Tigo Sports
Nigeria	22:00	SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North Macedonia	23:00	TDM Desporto
Norway	23:00	TV2, TV2 Play
Pakistan	02:00	PTV Sports, Tapmad
Panama	16:00	Tigo Sports
Paraguay	17:00	Canal Trece, GEN
Peru	16:00	America TV GO, America TV, DirecTV Sports
Philippines	05:00	Cignal Play, Pilipinas Live, TapGO TV
Poland	23:00	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	22:00	Sport TV5
Romania	00:00	AntenaPLAY, Antena
Russia	00:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	23:00	Arena Premium 1, RTS 1
Singapore	05:00	meWATCH, Singtel TV GO
Slovakia	23:00	JOJ Play, STVR Sport
Slovenia	23:00	Arena Sport 1, Slovenia TV2
South Africa	23:00	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL
South America	—	DGO Latin America
South Korea	06:00	JTBC, KBS 2
Spain	23:00	DAZN Espana, RTVE Play, TVE La 1
Suriname	18:00	STVS
Sweden	23:00	TV4 Play, TV4
Switzerland	23:00	M6, M6, Play RTS, Play RTS, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	05:00	ELTA Sports 1
Turkey	00:00	Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	00:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	22:00	BBC iPlayer, BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, ITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV
Uruguay	18:00	AUFTV, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 310
Usa	17:00	FOX Network, FOX One, Futbol de Primera Radio, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo
Uzbekistan	02:00	Futbol TV, Zor TV
Venezuela	17:00	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter, Televen
Vietnam	04:00	TV 360, VTV 3, VTV Go
Zambia	23:00	Sun Sports


	France		Sweden

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.75	10
	1.28	6.50	8.75
	1.32	5.65	9.7
	1.31	6	11.51
	1.3	6.19	10.27	Watch
	1.29	5.9	10
	1.3	5.86	10.9
	1.29	5.8	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.45)	5.96 ↑ (4.42)	9.97 ↑ (7.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

France
74.2%

Draw
16.2%

Sweden
9.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.8%

21.5%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

19.5%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

France has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in France's performance.

Sweden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for France than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with France that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sweden than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.4%	8%	2.7%

France - Sweden Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 - France (2.33) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 7.5 - under (1.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - France (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.73) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - France (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -2 - draw (4.26) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Users Predictions: France will win (101 of 112 users predict this - 90.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.67% – 95.69%. The data is statistically significant.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): France will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. France (votes: 24 - 88.9%). Sweden (votes: 1 - 3.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maignan M. (G) AC Milan 5. Kounde J. Barcelona 4. Upamecano D. Bayern Munich 17. Saliba W. Arsenal 3. Digne L. Aston Villa 8. Tchouameni A. Real Madrid 14. Rabiot A. AC Milan 7. Dembele O. PSG 11. Olise M. Bayern Munich 12. Barcola B. PSG 10. Mbappe K. (C) Real Madrid	1. Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) Derby 2. Lagerbielke G. Braga 3. Lindelof V. (C) Aston Villa 5. Gudmundsson G. Leeds 8. Svensson D. Dortmund 7. Bergvall L. Tottenham 18. Ayari Y. Brighton 24. Stroud E. Mjallby 11. Elanga A. Newcastle Utd 9. Isak A. Liverpool 17. Gyökeres V. Arsenal
Substitutes
25. Akliouche M. Monaco 24. Cherki R. Manchester City 20. Doue D. PSG 2. Gusto M. Chelsea 21. Hernandez L. PSG 19. Hernandez T. Al Hilal 13. Kante N. Fenerbahce 15. Konate I. Liverpool 6. Kone M. AS Roma 26. Lacroix M. Crystal Palace 22. Mateta J. Crystal Palace 23. Risser R. (G) Lens 1. Samba B. (G) Rennes 9. Thuram M. Inter 18. Zaire-Emery W. PSG	26. Ali T. Malmo FF 21. Bernhardsson A. Holstein Kiel 14. Ekdal H. Burnley 6. Johansson H. FC Dallas 12. Johansson V. (G) Stoke City 16. Karlstrom J. Udinese 25. Nilsson G. Club Brugge 23. Nordfeldt K. (G) AIK 10. Nygren B. Celtic 13. Sema K. Pafos 20. Smith E. St. Pauli 15. Starfelt C. Celta Vigo 19. Svanberg M. Wolfsburg 22. Zeneli B. Royale Union SG
Coaches
Deschamps D.	Potter G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Barcola B. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
66', Stroud E. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
66', Bergvall L. ↓, Zeneli B. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
75', Kounde J. ↓, Gusto M. ↑,
75', Dembele O. ↓, Doue D. ↑,
78', Digne L. ↓, Hernandez T. ↑,
82', Svensson D. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
82', Ayari Y. ↓, Nygren B. ↑,
85', Mbappe K. ↓, Mateta J. ↑,
85', Olise M. ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
89', Isak A. ↓, Nilsson G. ↑,

Preview

France is ranked FIFA: 3. Sweden is ranked FIFA: 38.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, France won 4.

France is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sweden's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sweden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, France is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in France: Thuram M. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Sweden: Hien I. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in France: Kante N. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, France won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- France
FIFA World Cup
26.06.26	Norway - France	1:4 ✺
22.06.26	France - Iraq	3:0 ✺
16.06.26	France - Senegal	3:1 ✺
Friendly
08.06.26	France - Northern Ireland	3:1 ✺
04.06.26	France - Ivory Coast	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWL
- Sweden
FIFA World Cup
25.06.26	Japan - Sweden	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Netherlands - Sweden	5:1 ✺
14.06.26	Sweden - Tunisia	5:1 ✺
Friendly
04.06.26	Sweden - Greece	2:2 ✺
01.06.26	Norway - Sweden	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
17.11.20	France - Sweden	4:2
05.09.20	Sweden - France	0:1
FIFA World Cup
09.06.17	Sweden - France	2:1
11.11.16	France - Sweden	2:1
Friendly
18.11.14	France - Sweden	1:0
Olympic Games - Football Women
03.08.12	Sweden - France	1:2

France - Sweden