Match Info

Belgian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4


	Standard Liège		Dender EH

	1	X	2
	1.30	5.00	6.25
	1.33	4.75	7.00
	1.35	5.00	7.50
	1.38	4.80	9.46
	1.32	5.3	8.1
	1.36	4.05	9.35
	1.33	5.67	7.08	Watch
	1.32	4.80	7.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.39)	4.92 ↑ (4.33)	7.74 ↑ (6.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Standard Liège
69.2%

Draw
18.8%

Dender EH
12%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.3%

20.9%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

21.7%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Standard Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Standard Liège - Dender EH Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Standard will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Epolo M. (G) 11. Abid A. 15. Drammeh S. 13. Fossey M. (C) 25. Hautekiet I. 20. Karamoko I. 3. Mortensen G. 94. Nielsen C. 77. Nsimba B. 84. Touzghar R. 22. Trouillet A.	1. Fortin L. (G) 22. Breugelmans I. 21. Cools K. 45. Daali A. 6. De Kerf B. 23. Experience M. 15. Koton K. 53. Nhaili A. 18. Rodes N. 14. Vandeplas G. 24. Viltard M. (C)
Substitutes
10. Eckert D. 80. Fosso R. 23. Ilaimaharitra M. 4. Lavalee D. 18. Lawrence H. 7. Mohr T. 17. Nguene B. 21. Pirard L. (G) 9. Zeqiri A.	60. Balde O. 16. Devriendt J. (G) 11. Diliwidi K. 2. Jullien C. 17. Kestens P. 13. Nkurunziza M. (G) 8. Szulc O. 9. Toshevski D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Abid A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 2 - 0, Nguene B. ⚽,
90', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Standard won 1.

In recent outings, Standard has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Dender EH is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

In this matchup, Standard is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Standard has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:5 (averaging 1.1:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Standard against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals (averaging 0.7:0.3 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.10.26	Standard Liège - Charleroi	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	Gent - Standard Liège	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Westerlo - Standard Liège	4:2 ✺
05.09.26	Standard Liège - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLWW
- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Challenger Pro League
09.10.26	Dender EH - Brugge U23	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Dender EH - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Gent U23 - Dender EH	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Dender EH - Seraing	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	RFC Liège - Dender EH	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
20.12.25	Dender EH - Standard Liège	0:1
Belgian Cup
02.12.25	Dender EH - Standard Liège	3:2
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.08.25	Standard Liège - Dender EH	1:1
17.05.25	Standard Liège - Dender EH	0:0
13.04.25	Dender EH - Standard Liège	1:1
26.01.25	Standard Liège - Dender EH	1:0
13.09.24	Dender EH - Standard Liège	0:2

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