Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA MITTELRHEIN - ROUND 13

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday


	Frechen		Blau-Weiß Friesdorf

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.75	7.25
	1.45	4.35	4.6
	1.45	4.4	4.7
	1.41	5.08	6.04
	1.3	5.2	7.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.51)	4.76 ↑ (4.4)	5.98 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frechen
65.7%

Draw
19.1%

Blau-Weiß Friesdorf
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

20.4%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

19.5%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frechen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Frechen's performance.

Blau-Weiß Friesdorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blau-Weiß Friesdorf might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frechen than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blau-Weiß Friesdorf than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Frechen - Blau Weiß Friesdorf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Frechen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Friesdorf is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Frechen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Frechen is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Frechen won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Frechen won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVg Frechen 20
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
06.11.22	Glesch-Paffendorf - Frechen	2:2 ✺
03.11.22	Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler - Frechen	0:4 ✺
30.10.22	Frechen - Fortuna Köln II	0:0 ✺
23.10.22	Bergisch Gladbach - Frechen	3:1 ✺
16.10.22	Frechen - Vichttal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWTLW
- Blau-Weiß Friesdorf
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
06.11.22	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf - Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler	4:0 ✺
30.10.22	Hennef 05 - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	2:0 ✺
23.10.22	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf - Bonner	1:8 ✺
15.10.22	Hürth - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	1:1 ✺
12.10.22	Wegberg-Beeck - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
24.02.22	Frechen - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	0:1
02.09.21	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf - Frechen	1:2
01.12.19	Frechen - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	2:0
14.04.19	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf - Frechen	3:1
07.10.18	Frechen - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	3:0

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