Match Info

Superliga - Relegation Group - Round 30

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Monjasa Park (Fredericia)

Referee: Krogh M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X


	Fredericia		Copenhagen

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.75	1.46	Watch
	4.6	4.75	1.55
	5.35	4.65	1.5	Watch
	5.59	4.96	1.54
	5.12	4.91	1.53	Watch
	5	4.4	1.44
	5.53	4.78	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↑ (4.75)	4.74 ↑ (4.2)	1.5 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fredericia
17.9%

Draw
19.8%

Copenhagen
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

22.2%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

21.3%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredericia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Copenhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Fredericia - Copenhagen Predictions

Users Predictions: Copenhagen will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Birkso V. (G) 12. Crone S. 3. Nygaard A. 5. Rieper F. (C) 8. Jessen J. 18. Pyndt A. 10. Simonsen E. 16. Johannesen S. 21. Lindekilde J. 17. Kristjansson D. F. 25. Etim F.	1. Kotarski D. (G) 20. Suzuki J. 6. Hatzidiakos P. 25. Zanka (C) 15. Lopez M. 11. Larsson J. 21. Madsen M. 36. Clem W. 30. Achouri E. 10. Elyounoussi M. 14. Cornelius A.
Substitutes
97. Buch O. 14. Dahl A. 9. Egelund P. 20. Haarbo D. 29. Hansborg E. 4. Kudsk J. 7. Marcussen G. 24. Pedersen K. 22. Petersen C. (G)	17. Buta 7. Claesson V. 39. Dadason V. 27. Delaney T. 24. Meling B. 9. Moukoko Y. 16. Robert 31. Runarsson R. A. (G) 44. Vianney G.
Coaches
Hansen M.	Svensson B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
1', 1 - 0, Etim F. ⚽, Nygaard A. (A),
11', 1 - 1, Cornelius A. ⚽, Elyounoussi M. (A),
24', 2 - 1, Lindekilde J. ⚽, Kristjansson D. F. (A),
32', 2 - 2, Madsen M. ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
45+1', Clem W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Crone S. ↓, Kudsk J. ↑,
46', Clem W. ↓, Delaney T. ↑,
65', Cornelius A. ↓, Dadason V. ↑,
69', Rieper F. 🟨,
74', Achouri E. ↓, Robert ↑,
74', Simonsen E. ↓, Buch O. ↑,
74', Johannesen S. ↓, Marcussen G. ↑,
82', Nygaard A. ↓, Dahl A. ↑,
83', 3 - 2, Etim F. ⚽, Jessen J. (A),
87', 3 - 3, Larsson J. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Madsen M. ↓, Vianney G. ↑,
88', Lopez M. ↓, Claesson V. ↑,
88', Lindekilde J. ↓, Egelund P. ↑,
90+2', Delaney T. 🟨,
90+5', Vianney G. 🟨,

Preview

Fredericia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Copenhagen is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Copenhagen is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Fredericia: Winther F. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Copenhagen: Gabriel Pereira (Groin Injury) Hojer O. (Injury) Huescas R. (Knee Injury) Mattsson M. (Knee Injury) Meling B. (Injury) Myrie K. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredericia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Fredericia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Outrights of Danish Superliga for now

FC Copenhagen: 50.9%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Copenhagen	9	8	0	1	23:8	15	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fredericia
Danish Superliga
26.04.26	Fredericia - OB Odense	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Randers FC - Fredericia	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Silkeborg IF - Fredericia	2:2 ✺
13.04.26	Fredericia - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	2:2 ✺
06.04.26	OB Odense - Fredericia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTTTL
- FC Copenhagen
Danish Superliga
27.04.26	Copenhagen - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	3:0 ✺
22.04.26	Copenhagen - OB Odense	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Copenhagen	1:4 ✺
12.04.26	Randers FC - Copenhagen	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Copenhagen - Silkeborg IF	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
22.03.26	Copenhagen - Fredericia	1:2
01.11.25	Copenhagen - Fredericia	3:2
01.08.25	Fredericia - Copenhagen	0:2
Club Friendly
08.07.25	Copenhagen - Fredericia	1:1
Danish Landspokal Cup
29.10.15	Fredericia - Copenhagen	1:2 ET

Upcoming Matches